Prior to October 2023, the United Arab Emirates withdrew from Yemen, redirected its attention to other conflict zones, and deepened its diplomatic, trade, and security ties with Israel.
The post-October 2023 conflict has disrupted the regional agendas of Saudi Arabia and the UAE, despite their shared interest with Egypt and Türkiye in conflict resolution.
The 2023 diplomatic success between Saudi Arabia and Iran led to a decrease in military confrontations in Yemen, a partial withdrawal of Saudi and Emirati forces, and a noticeable decrease in Houthi aggression against Saudi and Emirati territories.
The United Arab Emirates was the only Arab state that expressed a willingness to participate in a peacekeeping force in Gaza after the war, though it struggled to achieve meaningful concessions from Israel regarding a ceasefire or humanitarian aid.
Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Türkiye, Israel, and Iran recalibrated their foreign policies in response to the instability and shifting landscape caused by the Arab Spring.
Iran’s diplomatic and economic gains achieved between 2020 and 2023, including restored relations with Saudi Arabia, revitalized trade with the UAE, and emerging dialogues with Egypt and Jordan, have eroded due to the strains of the war.
Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates utilized increased oil revenues during the Arab Spring to enhance their military capabilities, seek protection guarantees from the United States, and diversify their alliances.
The Arab Spring uprisings caused radical changes to the foreign policies of Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Türkiye, Israel, and Iran, similar to how previous conflicts like the Iran-Iraq War, the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait, and the American invasion of Iraq reshaped the region.
To counter the rise of Islamist groups following the 2011 Arab Spring, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates aligned themselves with military and secular elites who opposed those Islamist groups across the region.
Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Türkiye have rejected Israeli plans for the displacement of Palestinians, settlement expansion, and the violation of Lebanese sovereignty.
Regional actors are currently involved in direct or proxy conflicts: Israel is in tension with Iran; Türkiye is intervening in Syria and Iraq; the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia are militarily involved in Yemen; and Egypt is involved in Libya, Sudan, and the Horn of Africa.
The United Arab Emirates faced difficulty mitigating tensions between Israel and Iran, as escalating hostilities undermined the country's efforts to shield the Gulf region from the fallout of the broader conflict.
The United Arab Emirates has ended its military involvement in Yemen and redirected its focus toward influencing civil conflicts in Sudan and Libya while maintaining close ties with Israel.
Iran expanded trade and investment ties with the United Arab Emirates and initiated limited political engagement with Egypt as part of a strategic pivot to reduce regional tensions.
The United Arab Emirates pursued a gradual normalization process with Syria, which concluded in December 2024 with the fall of the Assad regime.
Türkiye coordinated with Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates to exert pressure on the Israeli government to halt military operations and end the war.
The United Arab Emirates spearheaded the 2020 Abraham Accords, which led Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan to normalize their diplomatic relations with Israel.
Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates sought to contain Iranian regional expansion in Bahrain, Yemen, Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon.
The wars in Gaza and Lebanon, combined with Israel’s rejection of the two-state solution, presented significant challenges to the United Arab Emirates' efforts to consolidate regional and international alliances.
The unexpected collapse of the Assad regime in Syria destabilized the region and forced the United Arab Emirates to confront the resurgence of armed militias aligned with political Islam, an ideology the United Arab Emirates considers the greatest security threat to the Middle East.
Türkiye has achieved strategic gains in Syria by capitalizing on Iran’s diminishing influence in the Arab Mashreq and coordinating diplomatically with Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Egypt.
Regional powers including Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Türkiye, and Iran actively sought to secure their national interests during the instability following the 2011 uprisings.
Prior to October 7, 2023, Israel established security alliances with major Arab states including Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Jordan, and Türkiye.
The United Arab Emirates shifted its foreign policy priorities following its withdrawal from Yemen.
Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates acquired advanced technological systems from China and modern weapons from Russia to reduce their reliance on Western powers and expand international partnerships.
International focus prior to the October 2023 Gaza war was largely directed toward the normalization of the Abraham Accords, which involved Israel, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and Morocco.
The United Arab Emirates cultivated strong ties with China and Russia to reinforce its international influence.
Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Türkiye, Israel, and Iran possess significant political, military, economic, and diplomatic influence that allows them to impact regional stability in the Middle East.
The United Arab Emirates seeks to influence postwar scenarios in Gaza by positioning itself as a pragmatic player capable of bridging divides and advancing a cooperative regional framework.
Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Türkiye have collectively called for an immediate cessation of hostilities in Gaza and Lebanon and an end to all military operations in the region.
Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Türkiye have provided humanitarian relief to affected Palestinian and Lebanese populations and coordinated diplomatic efforts to press global powers to intervene in the Middle East.
Israel, Iran, Türkiye, and the United Arab Emirates continue to wield military capabilities in ways that perpetuate cycles of violence and delay meaningful collective action in the Middle East.
In 2015, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Bahrain launched a military intervention as part of the 'Arab Coalition' to counter the Houthi movement in Yemen, which led to repeated Houthi attacks on Saudi and Emirati territories until 2023.
Israel established bilateral counterterrorism agreements with Egypt and collaborated with Jordan and the United Arab Emirates on water resource management.
Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar possess the financial and political capital necessary to influence outcomes in Syria and the broader Levant.
The United Arab Emirates is exploring collaborations with Saudi Arabia and Egypt to stabilize Syria and the broader Levant region to mitigate risks associated with regional instability.
The United Arab Emirates focused its foreign policy on areas such as Sudan following the outbreak of the Sudanese civil war in 2023.
In 2011, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates perceived the Arab Spring uprisings as a destabilizing force that threatened to empower political Islam movements and increase Iranian influence in the region, specifically in Bahrain and Yemen.
The Egyptian government coordinated with the United Arab Emirates and France to curb the Libyan civil war and foster national consensus.
Before October 7, 2023, regional actors adopted varied strategies to increase security: Saudi Arabia sought to ease tensions with Iran, the United Arab Emirates focused on deepening cooperation with Israel, Egypt prioritized national security amidst domestic challenges, and Türkiye reduced its engagement in regional conflicts.
Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Egypt are increasingly prioritizing diplomacy and nonviolent foreign policies over military involvement in protracted conflicts to address their national security concerns.
The governments of Saudi Arabia (Riyadh), the United Arab Emirates (Abu Dhabi), Kuwait (Kuwait City), and Bahrain (Manama) distanced themselves from Türkiye, citing the country's perceived hostility and interference in Arab affairs.
The feasibility of a collective regional security endeavor led by Saudi Arabia, Egypt, the UAE, Türkiye, Israel, and Iran is contingent on overcoming significant obstacles, including mutual distrust, conflicting strategic goals, and the divergent policies of their respective governments.
The proxy war in Yemen, fought between Iran-backed Houthis and a Saudi-led coalition including the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain, claimed thousands of lives and displaced millions of people between 2015 and 2023.