The Nigerian population defends fossil fuel subsidies despite limited direct benefits to the majority because they lack trust in the government's ability to implement alternative redistribution schemes.
Environmental problems in Nigeria, such as water pollution, contamination, and soil degradation, may threaten local communities and lead to new conflicts if not addressed by the government, as noted by Eleri (1993).
McCulloch, Moerenhout, and Yang (2021) performed a micro-economic analysis of fuel subsidy reform and its impact on the social contract in Nigeria.
Nigeria's oil and gas exports are expected to be significantly impacted by climate policy measures targeting methane leakage, such as a methane border tax, due to the country's high flaring rate.
Thirty percent of the Nigerian population lives on less than 2.15 US-Dollars per day, and 40% live below the nationally defined poverty line as of 2018.
In Nigeria, compensation payments for fossil fuel asset stranding are considered inadequate because the country's institutional environment, characterized by corruption and political instability, hinders the equitable distribution of funds among relevant actors.
Oil and gas production in Nigeria is typically carried out by joint ventures between international oil companies, such as Shell and BP, and the state-owned Nigerian National Petroleum Company.
In a global comparison of governance indicators, Nigeria ranks at best in the 31st percentile for 'Voice and accountability' and as low as the 7th percentile for 'Political stability and violence'.
The World Bank classifies Nigeria as a 'Lower middle-income' economy, fulfilling the criteria of a resource-rich developing country (RRDC).
Nigeria aims for 100% electrification by 2040, with a goal of providing access to 500,000 households per year between 2020 and 2030, according to Löhr et al. (2022).
Nigeria aimed for an electrification rate of 75% by 2020 in its Rural Electrification Strategy and Implementation Plan (RESIP), but this target was missed, according to Löhr et al. (2022).
The German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Action organizes specialized symposia and dialogue formats on green renewable hydrogen in African countries, including Nigeria, as reported by UNIDO, IRENA, and IDOS in 2024.
The article 'Energy asset stranding in resource-rich developing countries and the just transition - A framework to push research frontiers' utilizes World Bank data, including Worldwide Governance Indicators (2022) and electricity access statistics for Nigeria (2023).
Nigeria ranks 14th worldwide in terms of fiscal dependency on oil and gas revenues.
The German Federal Foreign Office published a report titled 'Hydrogen Diplomacy: Germany Opens Hydrogen Office in Nigeria' in 2021.
Nigeria released its Energy Transition Plan in August 2022 to support the net-zero target by 2060.
Manley et al. (2017) calculated that the value of Nigeria's fossil reserves could decline by 15% and 26% if fossil prices are 1% and 2% lower, respectively, in the coming decades compared to the 2010s due to declining global demand.
Nigeria has experienced civil unrest following attempted fossil fuel subsidy reforms.
Camilla Houeland's 2022 study, 'The social contract and industrial citizenship: Nigerian trade unions' role in the recurring fuel subsidy protests', examines the role of Nigerian trade unions in protests related to fuel subsidies.
According to the World Bank (2021), Nigeria's GDP per capita was 5,860 US-Dollars in purchasing power parities (ranking 141st) and 2,184 in 2022 US-Dollars (ranking 180th).
Nigeria committed to achieving carbon neutrality by 2060 at the COP26 summit in Glasgow in 2021.
Nigeria's climate commitments include an unconditional reduction of greenhouse gas emissions by 20% and a 47% reduction by 2030.
Commercial scale oil production in Nigeria has been carried out since the late 1950s, with a large rise in production during the 1960s and relatively stable production since 1970.
Nigeria could sustain its current oil production levels for 56 years and its natural gas production levels for 110 years, according to BP (2022).
According to the World Bank's 2022 World Governance Indicators, Nigeria received negative values for all indicators, with the worst performance in 'Political stability and violence' and the second-worst in 'government effectiveness' based on data from 2015 to 2021.
Nigeria is the largest consumer of oil-fired backup generation, according to the International Energy Agency (2019).
The Nigerian population has demonstrated sensitivity to fossil fuel subsidy phase-outs through repeated civil unrest, as documented by Kojima (2016), Sivaram and Harris (2016), McCulloch et al. (2021), and Houeland (2022).
In Nigeria, gasoline and diesel are used to power household electricity generators, which serve as backup systems during frequent power blackouts.
Oil and gas revenues accounted for 45% of Nigeria's fiscal revenue in 2018, ranking the country 14th worldwide in fiscal dependency on these resources.
In 2023, 25 million people in Nigeria lived under the poverty line of 2.15 USD per day.
Nigeria faces significant capital and resource constraints, according to Climate Action Tracker (2022).
Renewable energy projects in Nigeria often fail due to a lack of skilled workers and maintenance expertise following project implementation.
Sala-i Martin X. and Subramanian A. (2013) examined strategies for addressing the natural resource curse, using Nigeria as a case study in the Journal of African Economies.
The study by the authors of the article 'Energy asset stranding in resource-rich developing countries and...' is among the first to examine the wider societal and systemic consequences of asset stranding, specifically using Nigeria as a case study and discussing policy options for sustainable development and a just transition.
In 2021, 40% of the population in Nigeria did not have access to electricity, which is one of the highest rates of energy poverty worldwide, according to the World Bank (2023).
Nigeria has struggled to effectively reduce natural gas flaring despite early commitments to ban the practice, according to Nwaoha and Wood (2014).
Nigeria is characterized as a resource-rich developing country that experiences significant macroeconomic, social, and institutional challenges.
The International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) published a technical report in 2023 titled 'Renewable Energy Roadmap: Nigeria'.
The Nigerian economy ranked 19th in dependency on resource rents in 2019, according to the World Bank (2021).
Nigeria's Gross National Income (GNI) per capita was 1,640 US-Dollars in 2022, ranking the country 158th globally.
Morgen et al. (2022) evaluated the potential for 'Fair Green Hydrogen' in Morocco, Niger, and Senegal, questioning whether it represents a genuine opportunity or a chimera.
Nigeria is significantly exposed to the risk of fossil fuel asset stranding and faces substantial difficulties in managing the associated challenges.
Nigeria experiences one of the highest rates of blackouts in Africa due to a highly unreliable energy grid, according to the International Energy Agency (2021).
The Nigerian government elected in May 2023 reversed previous macro-economic policies that contributed to Dutch disease, including the release of fixed currency exchange rates to a floating system.
40% of Nigeria's citizens were at risk of food insecurity in 2023.
Prior to the development of the Energy Transition Plan, climate and renewable energy policy did not play a significant role in Nigerian politics.
Inadequate planning and a lack of long-term government support for solar energy initiatives in Nigeria have led to project deterioration due to missing long-term maintenance for installed solar panels and infrastructure.
Nigeria has a GINI index of approximately 35, which is in the same order of magnitude as other Sub-Saharan African countries, according to 2021 World Bank data.
30% of Nigeria's population lived under the national poverty line in 2018.
The management of the oil and gas sector in Nigeria is characterized by extended patronage, contributing to low institutional quality.
In 2019, Nigeria was the world's 12th largest crude oil producer and 17th largest natural gas producer, according to the World Bank (2021).
Nigeria was the 17th largest natural gas producer worldwide in 2019.
Fossil fuel assets account for 20% of Nigeria's total assets.
Nigeria has experienced political instability since gaining independence in 1960, though the central government has been reliably elected in democratic elections since the late 1990s.
Millions of people in Nigeria suffer from hunger and limited access to food.
Nigerian governments have repeatedly attempted to phase out fossil fuel subsidies to increase fiscal space and comply with international donor requirements, but these attempts have failed due to civil unrest typically led by trade unions.
Nigeria is recognized as a relevant participant in Africa for the production and exportation of renewable hydrogen.
Nigeria ranked 19th worldwide in dependency on resource rents in 2019.
Nigeria's GNI per capita was 1,640 US dollars in 2022, ranking the country 158th worldwide.
The authors adapted an analysis framework originally developed by Schöpflin et al. (2023) to assess the wider economic and societal implications of energy asset stranding at the country level, using Nigeria as an exemplary case.
The Nigerian government implemented a phase-out of fossil fuel subsidies in June 2023, which resulted in an improved credit rating for the country.
Olayungbo (2019) analyzed the effects of oil export revenue on economic growth in Nigeria, specifically examining the 'resource curse' phenomenon using a time-varying analysis.
Germany maintains energy partnership agreements with Algeria, Angola, Australia, Brazil, Chile, China, India, Iran, Israel, Japan, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Morocco, Nigeria, Norway, Russia, South Africa, South Korea, Tunisia, Turkey, Ukraine, United Arab Emirates, USA, and Uzbekistan.
Nigeria was the 12th largest crude oil producer worldwide in 2019.
In 2021, Nigeria's World Governance Indicators were: -0.64 (31st percentile) for voice and accountability, -1.78 (7th percentile) for political stability and absence of violence, -1.00 (15th percentile) for government effectiveness, -0.93 (16th percentile) for regulatory quality, -0.86 (22nd percentile) for rule of law, and -1.07 (15th percentile) for control of corruption.
Nigeria's fossil fuel reserves to GDP ratio was 222% in 2015.
The value of Nigeria's fossil fuel reserves is projected to decline by 15–26% in the coming decades compared to 2010 levels.
The GINI index in the United States is approximately 40, which is higher than the GINI index in Nigeria.
Carbon Tracker classified Nigeria as one of the largest 'petrostates' in 2021, with a fiscal dependence on oil and gas revenues of 45% in 2018.
Nwaoha and Wood (2014) reviewed the current realities of natural gas utilization and monetization in Nigeria.
Fossil fuel assets are estimated to be approximately 20% of Nigeria's total assets, according to Cust and Manley (2018).