Israel's current military focus is countering Shiite militias in Iraq and the Houthis in Yemen to limit Iranian regional leverage.
Israel conducted targeted strikes against Palestinian factions and Iranian-backed forces in Lebanon, Syria, and Iraq.
Lebanese militants continued resistance against Israeli forces until the militants ultimately expelled the Israeli forces from Lebanon by 2000.
Israel's strategic goals included marginalizing the Palestinian cause, eroding prospects for a two-state solution, and shifting the regional agenda toward confronting Iran and establishing security alliances.
Egypt's relationship with Israel is strained due to Israel's refusal to permit humanitarian aid into Gaza, unwillingness to transfer control of the Rafah crossing to Palestinian authorities, and military incursions into the demilitarized Philadelphi Corridor.
The peace treaty signed between Lebanon and Israel on May 17, 1983, collapsed shortly after its signing despite American and European diplomatic efforts.
The author claims that the United States and numerous Western governments have continued to supply weapons, ammunition, and financial support to Israel despite the deaths of nearly 50,000 Palestinians and thousands of Lebanese.
Israel, Britain, and France launched the Tripartite Aggression in October 1956 in response to Egypt's nationalization of the Suez Canal, which followed Egypt's agreement to purchase Soviet-made arms via Czechoslovakia.
Israel is increasingly isolated in the Middle East, which highlights the difficulty of achieving regional dominance through militarized policies.
Israel's relationships with Egypt and Jordan are under considerable strain due to Israel's actions.
Türkiye coordinated with Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates to pressure the Israeli government to halt military operations and end the war.
Benjamin Netanyahu has portrayed recent regional developments as part of a 'new Middle East' dominated by Israeli power.
The Hamas attacks on October 7, 2023, and Israel's subsequent military response recentered the Middle East's conflicts on Palestine and led to an escalation of direct and proxy wars involving Israel, Iran, Türkiye, Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis, and Syrian factions.
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) mobilized Shiite militias in Iraq to counter United States influence, while Hezbollah in Lebanon and Syria actively targeted Israeli assets and interests.
Iran utilized its network of armed militias as a protective shield against American and Israeli adversaries and as strategic assets in regional negotiations and power dynamics.
The current Israeli leadership is no longer considered a reliable partner for regional peace or diplomacy by the author, despite the existence of the 1979 Egyptian-Israeli peace treaty.
Regional allies are unwilling to accept the permanent suppression of Palestinian statehood, the subjugation of the Palestinian people, or Israel's encroachments on the sovereignty and rights of neighboring Arab nations.
Iran adopted a hardline stance against Israel, calling for the destruction of the 'Zionist entity,' and provided consistent military and logistical support to Hamas and other factions in Gaza, which sidelined the Palestinian Authority.
Iran's regional strategy is designed to deter the United States and Israel from threatening Iranian security, targeting Iranian nuclear infrastructure, or undermining the military capabilities of Iranian allies.
To achieve his objectives in Palestine and Lebanon, Benjamin Netanyahu requires entities willing to accept unconditional surrender, which would allow Israel to consolidate control over Gaza, intensify settler activities in the West Bank and East Jerusalem, and dismantle Hezbollah both militarily and politically.
The United Arab Emirates faced difficulty mitigating tensions between Israel and Iran, as escalating hostilities undermined its efforts to shield the Gulf region from the broader conflict.
Israel refused to withdraw from the Syrian Golan Heights, engaged in military conflicts with Hezbollah, including the 2006 war, and conducted repeated strikes against Iranian allies, often in coordination with the United States.
Israel maintained a policy of military hegemony rather than moderating its reliance on military force, halting its occupation, curbing settlement expansion, or lifting the blockade on Palestinian territories following the 2011 regional uprisings.
The author asserts that Western bias, particularly U.S. military, economic, and diplomatic support for Israel, has shielded Israeli actions from consequences and emboldened Israel to perpetuate its occupation and dismantle Palestinian aspirations.
To break the cycle of perpetual conflict, Israel must abandon policies of coercion and unilateral dominance, reevaluate its refusal to recognize Palestinian self-determination, and pursue regional consensus for peaceful settlements and collective security.
Benjamin Netanyahu failed to secure a definitive victory in the protracted conflict despite Israel's apparent rise in regional influence, which was buoyed by the weakening of the Iranian axis, Türkiye’s redirection of its priorities, and the strategic disarray among Arab states.
Western strategic prioritization of Israel's regional integration aimed to achieve broad Arab normalization with Israel, which circumvented a resolution to the Palestinian question and disregarded the principles of the 2002 Arab Peace Initiative.
Israel's current policies of reoccupying Gaza, considering forced displacement, expanding West Bank settlements, maintaining a presence in Lebanon, and conducting aggressions toward Syria fail to create lasting security or stability and hinder normalization with regional neighbors.
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan condemned Israeli war crimes, occupation policies, and settlement expansion, while asserting Türkiye's readiness to act as a stabilizing force in Palestine and the Arab Levant following the conflict.
UN Resolution 242 contained linguistic ambiguity regarding the withdrawal of Israeli forces: the Arabic version demanded withdrawal from 'the occupied Arab territories,' while the English version called for withdrawal from 'occupied Arab territories,' allowing Israel to circumvent full withdrawal.
UN Security Council Resolution 1701 established international peacekeeping forces in Lebanon, but many of its key provisions requiring compliance from Israel and Hezbollah remained unfulfilled.
Before October 7, 2023, regional actors pursued different security strategies: Saudi Arabia sought to ease tensions with Iran, the UAE deepened cooperation with Israel, Egypt prioritized national security, and Türkiye reduced its regional conflict engagement.
Since its establishment in 1948, Israel has consistently been involved in military confrontations with its neighbors.
Israel and Iran are key regional powers whose ambitions are driving the current war and its resulting devastating consequences in the Middle East.
The wars in Gaza and Lebanon, combined with Israel's rejection of the two-state solution, challenged the United Arab Emirates' efforts to project influence through strategic partnerships.
Israel's military operations in Gaza and Shiite-majority areas of Lebanon have caused significant loss of life and widespread destruction.
The War of Attrition between Egypt and Israel (1969–1970) concluded with a U.S.-initiated mutual ceasefire that facilitated international mediation but exempted the United States from pressuring Israel to implement UN Resolution 242.
Israel's military-dominated posture remains a defining factor in Middle Eastern regional dynamics.
Prior to October 2023, the United Arab Emirates withdrew from Yemen, redirected its attention to other conflict zones, and deepened its diplomatic, trade, and security ties with Israel.
Egypt worked to de-escalate recurring armed confrontations between Hamas and Israel in the Gaza Strip to reduce violence, maintain regional stability, and refocus attention on the Palestinian cause.
Israel's military conflict has crippled much of Hamas's military infrastructure and its allied Palestinian factions, while also depleting Hezbollah's stockpiles of Iranian-supplied rockets and weaponry.
The Six-Day War, fought between June 5 and June 10, 1967, resulted in the defeat of the Arab armies of Jordan, Egypt, and Syria by Israel.
Egypt faces national security threats from its borders adjoining crisis zones, including fallout from Israeli incursions into Gaza, a regional arms race, and the socioeconomic strain of integrating refugees.
Between 2015 and 2023, Israel's Middle East policy utilized a dual strategy of aggressive stances by far-right and religious governments toward Palestinians and Iranian allies, combined with calculated openness toward select regional actors.
To achieve long-term objectives in Syria, such as integrating Turkish-backed militias into governance, pressuring Kurdish factions, returning Syrian refugees, and spearheading reconstruction, Türkiye must coordinate with Iran, Israel, Egypt, and Gulf States.
Israel’s confrontations with the Houthis in Yemen have escalated tensions in the Red Sea, jeopardizing maritime security and further destabilizing the region.
The 2020 Abraham Accords facilitated increased trade, diplomatic, political, and security cooperation between the signatory nations and Israel.
Prior to October 7, 2023, Saudi Arabia focused on internal reforms under its Vision 2030 framework, pursued new security agreements with the United States, and explored the possibility of normalizing relations with Israel.
The 1993 Oslo Accords sought to establish a roadmap for peace through mutual recognition and negotiation between Israel and the Palestinian Authority.
Israel was involved in a war for over a year that ended with a ceasefire agreement on January 19, 2025.
Israel pursued a strategy of escalating settlement activities in the West Bank and East Jerusalem, blockading Gaza, and eroding the Palestinian National Authority's governance capacity to undermine the two-state solution and the principle of land for peace.
Israel has emerged as a strategic winner in the current Middle East conflict, having substantially weakened Hamas, Hezbollah, Iran, and their allies.
The Middle East is currently characterized by direct and proxy conflicts, including the rivalry between Israel and Iran and a regional arms race, which fuel instability.
The relationship between Iran and Israel has resulted in a protracted war of attrition in the Middle East, characterized by mutual escalations and instability.
Israel and Egypt collaborate to manage border tensions and address crises related to Gaza.
Israel maintained a 'cold peace' with Egypt and Jordan while frequently engaging in military clashes with Hamas and allied factions.
Iran's support for Hamas and its hardline stance against Israel fueled structural tensions with Egypt and Jordan, which are two Arab neighbors of Israel committed to peace initiatives and a two-state solution.
The United States' insistence on conditioning normalization agreements between Saudi Arabia and Israel on the exclusion of Palestinian rights or the two-state solution undermines Saudi Arabia's strategic ambitions.
Israel's military campaigns in Gaza and Lebanon have resulted in significant military and humanitarian consequences.
Türkiye maintains a dual approach toward Israel, characterized by public condemnation of Israeli actions alongside covert military and operational cooperation in Syria.
Current regional policies often entangle Middle Eastern states in direct or proxy conflicts, such as Israel’s tensions with Iran, Türkiye’s intervention in Syria and Iraq, and the military involvement of the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia in Yemen.
Iranian-supported groups conducted attacks on United States bases in Iraq and Syria, which contributed to regional escalations including the 2020 United States assassination of IRGC commander Qassem Soleimani and prolonged hostilities between Hezbollah and Israel.
Israel has created demilitarized zones in northern Gaza and southern Lebanon through forced displacements.
The second disengagement agreement between Egypt and Israel, brokered by U.S. diplomatic efforts in September 1975, paved the way for peace treaties that eventually restored Sinai to Egyptian sovereignty.
Growing insecurity and violence faced by Israeli citizens led to increased rejection of the two-state solution and deepened societal divisions within Israel.
Saudi Arabia pursued a dual-track foreign policy strategy: strengthening its strategic alliance with the United States to secure security guarantees and potential nuclear program support, while simultaneously exploring normalization with Israel contingent on the acceptance of a Palestinian state.
The feasibility of a collective regional security endeavor involving Saudi Arabia, Egypt, the UAE, Türkiye, Israel, and Iran depends on overcoming mutual distrust, conflicting strategic goals, and divergent government policies.
Prior to the October 2023 Gaza war, international focus in the Middle East had largely shifted toward the normalization of the Abraham Accords, which involved Israel, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and Morocco.
Abu Dhabi is concerned about the potential fallout from the collapse of the Bashar al-Assad regime in Syria, the resurgence of Islamist groups in Syria, and the geopolitical competition among Türkiye, Iran, and Israel in the Arab Mashreq.
Since October 2023, Israeli military actions have expanded beyond violence against Palestinians to reflect a broader regional agenda.
The Arab Spring uprisings, occurring between 2011 and 2023, caused radical changes to the foreign policies of six influential regional powers: Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Türkiye, Israel, and Iran.
Israel intensified pressure on Iran and its allies, including both state and nonstate actors, because Israel perceived them as existential threats to its national security.
Prior to October 7, 2023, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan sought to mend relations with Israel, leading to the normalization of diplomatic ties with Benjamin Netanyahu's government.
The United Arab Emirates has ended its military involvement in Yemen and redirected its focus toward influencing civil conflicts in Sudan and Libya while maintaining close ties with Israel.
Through 2011, Israeli governments increasingly abandoned the commitments of the 1993 Oslo Accords and the 2002 Arab Peace Initiative, diminishing prospects for a peaceful resolution.
Israel, Iran, Türkiye, and the United Arab Emirates continue to wield military capabilities in ways that perpetuate cycles of violence and delay meaningful collective action in the Middle East.
Western diplomatic efforts were directed toward deepening Israel’s regional integration by focusing on security, diplomacy, trade, and investment.
Israel established bilateral counterterrorism agreements with Egypt and collaborated with Jordan and the UAE on water resource management.
Iran sustains its regional leverage and thwarts Israel's ambitions by supporting its allies near Israel and reinforcing its militias in Iraq and Yemen.
Iran and Israel have played central roles in perpetuating violence across Palestine, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, and Yemen.
Before 2011, Türkiye, led by Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the Justice and Development Party (AKP), maintained strong relations with regional neighbors, including a cooperative partnership with Syria and President Bashar al-Assad centered on a shared stance of "resistance" to Israel.
Israel achieved a strategic milestone by isolating Hezbollah from Iranian military and financial support following the fall of the Assad regime in Syria.
Israel has targeted key leadership figures within Hamas and Hezbollah, weakening their organizational and political influence.
The Israeli invasion of Lebanon began on June 6, 1982, and resulted in the occupation of Beirut.
Iran's sponsorship of armed groups beyond its borders and its disregard for the sovereignty of Arab nations under its influence mirrors the extremism of Israel’s far-right policies.
The Second Lebanon War, fought between Israel and Hezbollah, lasted just over 30 days, beginning on July 12, 2006, and concluding on August 14, 2006.
Israel's ongoing war in Gaza, its obstruction of humanitarian aid, and its disregard for Egypt's red lines regarding the Philadelphi Corridor and the Rafah crossing have placed the peace treaty between Israel and Egypt in a state of crisis.
The United Arab Emirates attempted to leverage its relationship with Israel to push for a ceasefire, facilitate humanitarian aid, and build regional consensus on governance for postwar Gaza and Lebanon.
Successive far-right Israeli governments established an apartheid-like regime that subjected Palestinians to structural violence, dispossession, and dehumanization.
Israel escalated its military offensives against Iran and its proxies in Syria, Iraq, and Yemen in response to attacks from the Iranian bloc.
Israel's actions pose a threat to the national interests of Egypt and Jordan due to the risk of forced Palestinian displacement into their territories.
Middle Eastern countries including Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Türkiye, Israel, and Iran wield significant influence beyond their borders through political, military, economic, and diplomatic domains.