entity

Israel

Also known as: Israeli, Zionist, Israelis

synthesized from dimensions

Israel is a central geopolitical and military actor in the Middle East, characterized by its pursuit of regional security and dominance through a dual strategy of calibrated military force and strategic alliances. Since its establishment in 1948, the state has maintained a posture of persistent defense and proactive engagement, particularly in response to perceived existential threats from Iran and its regional proxies, including Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis. Israel’s foreign policy is defined by its close, foundational alliance with the United States, which provides critical military and diplomatic support, alongside efforts to normalize relations with various Arab states through frameworks like the Abraham Accords.

The core of Israel’s current strategic focus is the containment of Iranian influence and the neutralization of its nuclear ambitions. Israel has consistently opposed Iranian nuclear agreements, such as the 2015 JCPOA, viewing them as insufficient to prevent the development of a nuclear arsenal. This opposition has manifested in a protracted campaign of covert operations, cyber warfare, and direct military strikes against Iranian nuclear infrastructure, oil facilities, and leadership, often conducted in coordination with the United States. These actions are framed by Israeli leadership as essential for long-term deterrence and the preservation of regional stability.

Domestically and regionally, Israel’s policies regarding the Palestinian territories remain a significant point of contention and international scrutiny. The state has been involved in prolonged military campaigns in Gaza and the West Bank, characterized by the expansion of settlements, the imposition of border closures, and the management of humanitarian aid. These actions have drawn criticism from international bodies, including the International Court of Justice, which has deemed aspects of the occupation unlawful. Furthermore, these policies have strained Israel’s diplomatic relationships with regional neighbors, including Egypt and Jordan, despite the existence of long-standing peace treaties.

Israel’s military doctrine emphasizes technological superiority and the ability to project power across the region. This is supported by an undisclosed nuclear arsenal and a highly mobilized defense force. While Israel seeks to transform regional disorder into a more hierarchical order through strategic partnerships—such as those with Greece, Cyprus, and India—it simultaneously faces significant domestic and international challenges. These include the displacement of its own citizens due to cross-border hostilities, internal political debates regarding leadership and security, and the necessity of balancing its military objectives with the shifting priorities of its international allies.

Ultimately, Israel functions as a pivotal, polarizing force in the Middle East. It is viewed by its supporters as a resilient state successfully weakening hostile adversaries and securing its sovereignty, while critics characterize its actions as an pursuit of military hegemony that exacerbates regional instability and undermines the prospects for a lasting peace with the Palestinian people. The nation remains deeply integrated into a complex web of global and regional power dynamics, continuously navigating the tensions between its security requirements, its democratic aspirations, and its role in an increasingly volatile geopolitical landscape.

Model Perspectives (12)
openrouter/x-ai/grok-4.1-fast definitive 95% confidence
Israel plays a central role as a primary adversary to Iran and its 'Axis of Resistance' proxies, including Hezbollah, Hamas, Houthis, and Iraqi Shia militias, conducting targeted strikes against them in Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, and Yemen to counter Iranian influence and limit regional leverage 7, 8. It perceives Iran as an existential threat, seeking to neutralize it through military actions like the 'Twelve-Day War' attacks on Iran and strikes on Iranian nuclear-related sites such as South Pars gas field, often in coordination with the United States 2, 11, 20. Key details include its undisclosed nuclear weapons program as a defense pillar 25, mobilization of over 100,000 IDF reservists for border stability 33, and strategic goals to marginalize Palestinians while confronting Iran 16. Regionally, Israel maintains partnerships like with UAE and Bahrain despite wariness 17, a trilateral framework with Greece and Cyprus 23, but faces strained ties with Egypt and Jordan over Gaza policies 18, 37, and ICJ rulings deeming its occupation unlawful 50. It connects closely to the US for joint operations, air superiority over Iran, and support against proxy attacks like Iran's April 2024 missile barrage 28, 38. Domestically, parties like Hadash condemn escalations 31, while Netanyahu frames developments as a 'new Middle East' of Israeli dominance (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace; Amr Hamzawy) 49.
openrouter/x-ai/grok-4.1-fast definitive 96% confidence
Israel is depicted as a primary military power and strategic actor in Middle East conflicts, particularly against Iran and its proxies like Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Houthis. The Middle East Institute reports that the Israel-Hamas war began after Hamas's October 7, 2023 attack, seizing over 150 hostages, while the Atlantic Council notes this strengthened Israel's position over Gaza. Israel launched strikes killing Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah in 2024 per The Washington Institute (Michael Singh), prompting failed Iranian retaliation and Israeli counterstrikes on Iranian defenses. Alongside the US, Israel targeted Iran's nuclear facilities Newlines Institute and debated further nuclear strikes Washington Institute (Michael Singh). Carnegie Endowment (Amr Hamzawy) criticizes Israeli leadership as unreliable for peace despite the Egypt treaty, pursuing military hegemony, settlement acceleration in the West Bank Security Council Report, and closing Gaza crossings MSF. European Center for Populism Studies (Ibrahim Ozturk) describes Israel's dual strategy of expansion through partnerships—like with Vietnam on tech/defense Belfer Center (Huynh Trung Dung) and Greece/Cyprus exercises—and coercion for dominance. Israel views Iranian capabilities as existential threats ECPS (Ozturk), called Iran's bluff on deterrence Washington Institute (Singh), and refuses Golan withdrawal while striking Iranian allies Carnegie (Hamzawy). It maintains close US ties, Syrian security talks ECPS (Ozturk), and faces regional criticism for Palestinian policies Carnegie (Hamzawy). During emergencies, Israel enacted measures like closing airspace American Jewish Committee. Connections span US alliances, proxy foes, wary Arab states, and balancing powers like Russia.
openrouter/x-ai/grok-4.1-fast definitive 97% confidence
Israel emerges as a central military and strategic actor in Middle Eastern geopolitics, particularly in conflicts involving Iran and its proxies, Palestinian territories, Lebanon, and Syria. It pursues dominance by transforming multipolar disorder into a hierarchical order through networks, enemy management, and calibrated force transforming regional disorder (European Center for Populism Studies). Key details include its possession of a nuclear arsenal per SIPRI nuclear arsenal recognition, consistent involvement in military confrontations since 1948 military confrontations since 1948 (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace), and recent actions like bombing Iran's South Pars fields bombed South Pars fields (Foreign Policy Research Institute), infiltrating Iran to kill officials infiltrated Iran killing officials (The New Yorker), and striking its nuclear program during the June 2025 war strikes set back nuclear (Atlantic Council). Israel's policies, such as reoccupying Gaza, expanding settlements, and closing border crossings closed Gaza crossings (Security Council Report), draw international criticism, including an ICJ ruling on illegal occupation ICJ illegal presence ruling (European Center for Populism Studies) and condemnations from Erdoğan Erdoğan condemned war crimes (Carnegie). It views Iran as an existential threat due to rhetoric and proxies like Hezbollah and Hamas existential Iran threat (CSIS), while coordinating with the US on Iran pressures no consensus on Iran actions (The Washington Institute). Connections include alliances via Abraham Accords Gulf states cooperation (Horn Review), India ties India-Israel relations expansion, and protections like US-backed Southern Front Southern Front protection (Carnegie).
openrouter/x-ai/grok-4.1-fast definitive 96% confidence
Israel emerges as a central military and political actor in Middle East conflicts, primarily engaged in direct confrontations with Iran and its proxies like Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis, while advancing territorial claims in Palestinian areas. The Newlines Institute reports that Israel launched attacks on Iranian nuclear facilities, actions criticized as undermining U.S.-Iran negotiations. Israel initiated major operations like Operation Lion’s Roar against Iran on February 28, 2026 (American Jewish Committee) and participated in joint U.S.-Israel strikes targeting Iran's nuclear sites and leadership (Security Council Report), resulting in the death of Iran's Supreme Leader (Stimson Center). Domestically, Israeli leadership faces elections (CSIS), and it has pursued annexation measures in Occupied Palestinian Territories via settlements (Security Council Report), alongside sealing off Gaza (Middle East Institute) and a prolonged war there ending in ceasefire (Carnegie Endowment). Israel's strategies include a dual approach of aggression toward Palestinians and Iran allies with selective regional openness (Carnegie Endowment) and shifting responses to Iran amid U.S. dynamics. It opposed the JCPOA from inception (Newlines Institute), benefits from Abraham Accords cooperation, and relies on U.S. military support (Washington Institute). Israel connects closely with the U.S. in anti-Iran campaigns, faces proxy threats like rockets (Atlantic Council), and draws international criticism for settlements (UN via Security Council Report). It is viewed as a strategic winner weakening adversaries (Carnegie Endowment).
openrouter/x-ai/grok-4.1-fast definitive 95% confidence
Israel serves as a central antagonist to Iran in a protracted Middle East war of attrition marked by mutual escalations, according to the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Iran-Israel war of attrition. Alongside the United States, Israel leads military operations against Iran (Atlantic Council) US-Israel lead operations and has conducted strikes on Iranian targets, including South Pars gas fields (Foreign Policy Research Institute; Columbia University) Israeli bombing South Pars, targeted South Pars, nuclear infrastructure (Newlines Institute) strikes on nuclear sites, and Hezbollah assets like pagers and headquarters (The New Yorker) pagers detonation Hezbollah. Israel perceives Iran as an existential threat due to its nuclear ambitions, proxies, and rejection of Israel's legitimacy (Newlines Institute; American Jewish Committee) existential threat from Iran, conflict roots nuclear proxies, opposes intact Iranian nuclear programs (Newlines Institute) opposes nuclear agreement, and employs deterrence, covert actions, and interdictions (Carnegie Endowment) response to Iranian threat. Domestically, Israel faces civilian casualties (18 killed, 4,900+ injured) and displacements (UN OCHA) Israeli civilian casualties, displaced in Israel; it manages Gaza aid via crossings (Security Council Report) Kerem Shalom reopened, Rafah partial opening, and conducts campaigns in Gaza/Lebanon (Carnegie; The New Yorker) campaigns in Gaza Lebanon. Israel maintains 'cold peace' with Egypt/Jordan while clashing with Hamas (Carnegie) cold peace Egypt Jordan and collaborates with Egypt on borders (Carnegie) Israel-Egypt border management. It connects to US alliances, Iranian proxies (Hamas, Hezbollah, Houthis), neighbors (Egypt, Saudi Arabia), and powers like Russia/China.
openrouter/x-ai/grok-4.1-fast definitive 98% confidence
Israel serves as a central actor in Middle Eastern conflicts, primarily positioned as a key adversary to Iran and its proxies like Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis, while pursuing normalization with Arab states and relying on U.S. support. Hezbollah launched missiles and drones against northern Israel, escalating regional involvement (Stimson Center; Hezbollah attack on Israel). Israel has expanded military actions beyond Palestinians to a broader agenda since October 2023 (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace; Amr Hamzawy; expanded military actions) and intensified pressure on Iran and allies perceived as existential threats (Carnegie Endowment; intensified pressure on Iran). Key operations include strikes against Iran in June 2025 (CSIS; Israel strikes Iran), a Lebanon offensive against Hezbollah (American Jewish Committee; Lebanon operation), and Sanaa strikes killing Houthi leaders (The New Yorker; Sanaa strikes). Israel was satisfied with a 12-day war degrading Iranian defenses (CSIS; satisfied with war outcome) and achieved milestones like isolating Hezbollah post-Assad (Carnegie; isolated Hezbollah). Its strategic endgame targets Iran's regime and proxies (Newlines Institute; strategic endgame vs Iran), opposing any Iranian nuclear program (Newlines; opposes Iran nuclear). Normalization efforts include Abraham Accords with UAE and others pre-Gaza war (Carnegie; Abraham Accords), slowed Saudi ties (Horn Review; Saudi normalization slowed), and agreements with Egypt and UAE (Carnegie; counterterrorism agreements). U.S. provided defensive aid against Iran (The Washington Institute; U.S. military assistance), amid shared dominance over Iran (Newlines; U.S.-Israel dominance). Israel connects to UAE, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, and Turkey via diplomacy, while animosity with Iran stems from 1979 (Newlines; Israel-Iran animosity).
openrouter/x-ai/grok-4.1-fast definitive 95% confidence
Israel emerges as a primary military actor and U.S. ally in an ongoing war against Iran, conducting coordinated strikes on Iranian nuclear infrastructure despite U.S. and Israeli strikes against nuclear, oil storage facilities Israel attacked oil storage in Iran, regime leadership, security organs, and other targets (Atlantic Council). The Israeli government perceives Iran as an existential threat (Newlines Institute), actively debating further strikes on its nuclear program Israel debating military strikes on Iran nuclear (The Washington Institute; Michael Singh) that could draw in U.S. forces Israeli strikes expected to draw U.S. involvement. Israel opposed the 2015 JCPOA Israel explicitly opposed JCPOA (Council on Foreign Relations) and criticized it for leniency Israel criticized JCPOA on IAEA inspections (Newlines Institute). Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has long warned of Iran's nuclear threat since the 1990s (Newlines Institute) and frames military operations for long-term deterrence Netanyahu on Israeli operation goals (American Jewish Committee). Israel has responded to regional threats with airstrikes on Hezbollah strongholds Israel airstrikes on Hezbollah (Middle East Council on Global Affairs) and a Houthi port in Yemen Israel strikes Houthi port (Academia.edu), amid Hezbollah barrages displacing over 100,000 Israelis Hezbollah displaced Israelis (Irregular Warfare Initiative). Its actions in Gaza strain ties with Egypt Israel's Gaza war crisis with Egypt (Carnegie Endowment; Amr Hamzawy) and draw international scrutiny, while U.S. support risks divergence if goals misalign Shapiro on U.S.-Israel gap (Atlantic Council). Connections link Israel to U.S. (joint offensives), Iran (direct foe), proxies like Hezbollah/Houthis, and figures like Netanyahu.
openrouter/x-ai/grok-4.1-fast definitive 95% confidence
Israel serves as a primary military aggressor and key regional power in the ongoing conflict with Iran and its proxies, often acting in coalition with the United States to conduct strikes that have killed nearly 50 senior Iranian officials, diminished Iran's missile and drone capabilities US-Israeli forces diminishing Iran, and initiated a current U.S.-Israeli offensive distinguished by higher U.S. involvement and Iranian retaliation U.S.-Israeli offensive against Iran. Israel planned preemptive strikes on Iranian ballistic missile production in 2026 due to fears of overwhelmed defenses Israel planned missile strikes and has contained attacks from Iran's regional partners with U.S. support Israel contained proxy attacks. Key Israeli figures like Zohar Palti, former Mossad and Defense Ministry official, provide expertise on these dynamics Zohar Palti background. Israel has shifted from covert operations to direct actions, including invasions of Lebanon, strikes in Yemen, Iraq, Syria, and killings of Hamas leaders Ismail Haniyeh killed Haniyeh in Tehran and Yahya Sinwar killed Sinwar in Gaza, Hezbollah's Hassan Nasrallah killed Nasrallah, pager attacks, and direct exchanges with Iran in 2024 direct Israel-Iran strikes. This marks a departure from prior indirect conflict post-2006 Israel-Hezbollah war Israel-Iran conflict campaign. Israel connects to the U.S. as a close ally pressuring Iran toward negotiations US-Israel pressure Iran, Iran as existential threat fearing nuclear deterrence threaten Israeli dominance, proxies like Hezbollah facing persistent attacks Israeli attacks on Hezbollah, Hamas after October 7 attacks Hamas attack on Israel, Houthis Houthi strikes on Israel, and Gulf states via Abraham Accords Abraham Accords normalization, reshaping the Middle East alongside Iran and others reshaped Middle East.
openrouter/x-ai/grok-4.1-fast definitive 88% confidence
Israel emerges as a central geopolitical actor in Middle East dynamics, engaging in military confrontations, diplomatic normalizations, and economic partnerships amid tensions with Iran and its proxies. It participated in the 1993 Oslo Accords seeking peace with the Palestinian Authority per references, while facing ICJ advisory opinion on its policies in occupied territories as a claim. Militarily, Israel escalated offensives against Iran proxies in Syria, Iraq, and Yemen (claim), conducted a 2026 campaign to weaken adversaries including Iran and Hamas (account), and executed strikes killing IRGC commanders in Syria (account). Its actions are viewed as threatening Egypt and Jordan via displacement risks (claim) and mirroring Iranian extremism via far-right policies (perspective). Diplomatically, pre-2023 UAE deepened ties with Israel (account), Saudi Arabia pursued conditional normalization on Palestinian statehood (claim), and Turkey coordinated pressure to halt operations (account). Economically, Israel anchors IMEC corridor linking India via Gulf states (reference), features in India-Israel expansion (claim) highlighted by Modi's Knesset address (quote), and co-leads East Med Gas Forum with Egypt, Greece, Cyprus (claim) plus Greece-Cyprus declarations and arms sales (claim). As a competing power pole, it pursues hegemony via expansion (perspective). Russia's ties have deteriorated over Syria and Ukraine (account), viewing Israel as Western overreach (perspective).
openrouter/x-ai/grok-4.1-fast definitive 98% confidence
Israel emerges as a central regional power driving Middle East security dynamics, particularly in direct confrontation with Iran and its proxies. It pursues an aggressive military posture, including preventive strikes on nuclear facilities in Iraq (1981), Syria (2007), and Iran (2025), aligning with its strategic doctrine of neutralizing threats preemptively Israeli preventive action doctrine. Israel has conducted strikes against Hezbollah strikes weakening Hezbollah, Houthis in Yemen Israeli strikes on Houthis, and Iranian targets, diminishing Iran's Axis of Resistance removal of Hamas/Hezbollah leverage. Facing attacks from Iranian proxies like Houthis Houthi missile/drone attacks, Iraqi militias Iraqi militia attacks on Israel, Hamas, and Palestinian Islamic Jihad, Israel has unrealized goals of eliminating Hamas Netanyahu's Hamas elimination objective. Arab Gulf states aided in thwarting Iranian assaults on Israel Gulf defensive aid vs Iran, as reported by US Department of Defense neutralized Iranian attacks, though GCC affirmed neutrality GCC neutrality in Israel-Iran war. Israel coordinates closely with the US on intelligence and military efforts against Iran US-Israel intelligence coordination, viewing Iran as an existential threat Iran as existential threat. Sources like The Washington Institute detail Israel's 'Campaign Between Wars' strategy Eisenkot/Siboni policy analysis, CSIS assesses strikes on Iran CSIS Israel strike assessment, and MEI discusses Iran's attacks MEI webinar on Iran attack. In 2026 war scenarios, Israel joins US airstrikes on Iran Israel-US airstrikes on Iran and responds to retaliations Israeli response to Hezbollah.
openrouter/x-ai/grok-4.1-fast definitive 95% confidence
Israel plays a central role as a primary adversary to Iran and its proxy networks in the Middle East, frequently acting in close military coordination with the United States. It co-launched Operation Epic Fury, a joint campaign on February 28, 2026, that targeted Iran's nuclear sites, missile facilities, and leadership in cities like Tehran and Isfahan. Israeli forces also struck Kataib Hezbollah headquarters and killed Hezbollah operatives south of the Litani River, as documented by the Foundation for Defense of Democracies. Israel faces attacks from Iran's proxies, including Houthi ballistic missiles, Hezbollah drones and missiles near Haifa, and Iraqi militias. The UN Security Council condemned Iran’s strikes against Israel. Historically, Israel engaged in conflicts like the Six-Day War, War of Attrition, Tripartite Aggression, and Second Lebanon War, assassinated Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, and is criticized for an apartheid-like regime obstructing Gaza aid. It coordinates diplomatically with Washington and the UAE against Iran and connects to Gaza via Hamas ceasefires linked to withdrawals. Iranian strategists weigh massive retaliation against Israel, while proxies share ideological hatred toward it.
openrouter/x-ai/grok-4.1-fast 95% confidence
Israel serves as a central entity in Middle Eastern geopolitical tensions, particularly in its ongoing conflict with Iran, which stems from Iran's nuclear ambitions, ballistic missiles, and support for terror proxies conflict roots with Iran. Israel participated in U.S.-Israeli military strikes against Iran, drawing varied international responses: condemnation from Brazil, Chile, and Colombia Latin American condemnations, support from Argentina and Paraguay Southern Cone support, explicit backing by Argentina's government Argentina solidarity and Albania's prime minister Albanian praise, opposition from Spain as a European outlier Spanish opposition, and France condemning Iranian retaliation while bolstering regional presence French response. The European Union faces challenges in forming a unified stance on Israel amid U.S. pressures EU positioning struggles. Israel was targeted by Hamas attacks on October 7, 2023, killing nearly 2,000 including Americans and taking hostages Hamas attack casualties, viewed by Iranian officials and Supreme Leader Khamenei as U.S. setbacks and steps toward 'de-Americanization' Iranian perceptions. Iran fosters an anti-Israeli coalition and challenges Israel's regional dominance alongside Saudi Arabia's Iranian challenges. Israel engages in U.S.-mediated security talks with Syria Syria talks and benefits from Abraham Accords normalizing ties with Arab states Abraham Accords impact, though Saudi Arabia conditions ties on a Palestinian state Saudi condition. Indian PM Modi's visit preceded strikes Modi visit, and some Iranian diaspora expressed gratitude toward Israel post-Iran leader's death diaspora reaction.

Facts (442)

Sources
Opportunities for Collective Regional Security in the Middle East carnegieendowment.org Amr Hamzawy · Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Mar 5, 2025 92 facts
claimIsrael's current military focus is countering Shiite militias in Iraq and the Houthis in Yemen to limit Iranian regional leverage.
accountIsrael conducted targeted strikes against Palestinian factions and Iranian-backed forces in Lebanon, Syria, and Iraq.
accountLebanese militants continued resistance against Israeli forces until the militants ultimately expelled the Israeli forces from Lebanon by 2000.
claimIsrael's strategic goals included marginalizing the Palestinian cause, eroding prospects for a two-state solution, and shifting the regional agenda toward confronting Iran and establishing security alliances.
claimEgypt's relationship with Israel is strained due to Israel's refusal to permit humanitarian aid into Gaza, unwillingness to transfer control of the Rafah crossing to Palestinian authorities, and military incursions into the demilitarized Philadelphi Corridor.
accountThe peace treaty signed between Lebanon and Israel on May 17, 1983, collapsed shortly after its signing despite American and European diplomatic efforts.
claimThe author claims that the United States and numerous Western governments have continued to supply weapons, ammunition, and financial support to Israel despite the deaths of nearly 50,000 Palestinians and thousands of Lebanese.
accountIsrael, Britain, and France launched the Tripartite Aggression in October 1956 in response to Egypt's nationalization of the Suez Canal, which followed Egypt's agreement to purchase Soviet-made arms via Czechoslovakia.
claimIsrael is increasingly isolated in the Middle East, which highlights the difficulty of achieving regional dominance through militarized policies.
claimIsrael's relationships with Egypt and Jordan are under considerable strain due to Israel's actions.
accountTürkiye coordinated with Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates to pressure the Israeli government to halt military operations and end the war.
perspectiveBenjamin Netanyahu has portrayed recent regional developments as part of a 'new Middle East' dominated by Israeli power.
accountThe Hamas attacks on October 7, 2023, and Israel's subsequent military response recentered the Middle East's conflicts on Palestine and led to an escalation of direct and proxy wars involving Israel, Iran, Türkiye, Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis, and Syrian factions.
accountThe Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) mobilized Shiite militias in Iraq to counter United States influence, while Hezbollah in Lebanon and Syria actively targeted Israeli assets and interests.
claimIran utilized its network of armed militias as a protective shield against American and Israeli adversaries and as strategic assets in regional negotiations and power dynamics.
perspectiveThe current Israeli leadership is no longer considered a reliable partner for regional peace or diplomacy by the author, despite the existence of the 1979 Egyptian-Israeli peace treaty.
claimRegional allies are unwilling to accept the permanent suppression of Palestinian statehood, the subjugation of the Palestinian people, or Israel's encroachments on the sovereignty and rights of neighboring Arab nations.
claimIran adopted a hardline stance against Israel, calling for the destruction of the 'Zionist entity,' and provided consistent military and logistical support to Hamas and other factions in Gaza, which sidelined the Palestinian Authority.
claimIran's regional strategy is designed to deter the United States and Israel from threatening Iranian security, targeting Iranian nuclear infrastructure, or undermining the military capabilities of Iranian allies.
claimTo achieve his objectives in Palestine and Lebanon, Benjamin Netanyahu requires entities willing to accept unconditional surrender, which would allow Israel to consolidate control over Gaza, intensify settler activities in the West Bank and East Jerusalem, and dismantle Hezbollah both militarily and politically.
claimThe United Arab Emirates faced difficulty mitigating tensions between Israel and Iran, as escalating hostilities undermined its efforts to shield the Gulf region from the broader conflict.
accountIsrael refused to withdraw from the Syrian Golan Heights, engaged in military conflicts with Hezbollah, including the 2006 war, and conducted repeated strikes against Iranian allies, often in coordination with the United States.
claimIsrael maintained a policy of military hegemony rather than moderating its reliance on military force, halting its occupation, curbing settlement expansion, or lifting the blockade on Palestinian territories following the 2011 regional uprisings.
perspectiveThe author asserts that Western bias, particularly U.S. military, economic, and diplomatic support for Israel, has shielded Israeli actions from consequences and emboldened Israel to perpetuate its occupation and dismantle Palestinian aspirations.
perspectiveTo break the cycle of perpetual conflict, Israel must abandon policies of coercion and unilateral dominance, reevaluate its refusal to recognize Palestinian self-determination, and pursue regional consensus for peaceful settlements and collective security.
claimBenjamin Netanyahu failed to secure a definitive victory in the protracted conflict despite Israel's apparent rise in regional influence, which was buoyed by the weakening of the Iranian axis, Türkiye’s redirection of its priorities, and the strategic disarray among Arab states.
claimWestern strategic prioritization of Israel's regional integration aimed to achieve broad Arab normalization with Israel, which circumvented a resolution to the Palestinian question and disregarded the principles of the 2002 Arab Peace Initiative.
claimIsrael's current policies of reoccupying Gaza, considering forced displacement, expanding West Bank settlements, maintaining a presence in Lebanon, and conducting aggressions toward Syria fail to create lasting security or stability and hinder normalization with regional neighbors.
claimRecep Tayyip Erdoğan condemned Israeli war crimes, occupation policies, and settlement expansion, while asserting Türkiye's readiness to act as a stabilizing force in Palestine and the Arab Levant following the conflict.
claimUN Resolution 242 contained linguistic ambiguity regarding the withdrawal of Israeli forces: the Arabic version demanded withdrawal from 'the occupied Arab territories,' while the English version called for withdrawal from 'occupied Arab territories,' allowing Israel to circumvent full withdrawal.
claimUN Security Council Resolution 1701 established international peacekeeping forces in Lebanon, but many of its key provisions requiring compliance from Israel and Hezbollah remained unfulfilled.
accountBefore October 7, 2023, regional actors pursued different security strategies: Saudi Arabia sought to ease tensions with Iran, the UAE deepened cooperation with Israel, Egypt prioritized national security, and Türkiye reduced its regional conflict engagement.
claimSince its establishment in 1948, Israel has consistently been involved in military confrontations with its neighbors.
claimIsrael and Iran are key regional powers whose ambitions are driving the current war and its resulting devastating consequences in the Middle East.
claimThe wars in Gaza and Lebanon, combined with Israel's rejection of the two-state solution, challenged the United Arab Emirates' efforts to project influence through strategic partnerships.
claimIsrael's military operations in Gaza and Shiite-majority areas of Lebanon have caused significant loss of life and widespread destruction.
accountThe War of Attrition between Egypt and Israel (1969–1970) concluded with a U.S.-initiated mutual ceasefire that facilitated international mediation but exempted the United States from pressuring Israel to implement UN Resolution 242.
claimIsrael's military-dominated posture remains a defining factor in Middle Eastern regional dynamics.
accountPrior to October 2023, the United Arab Emirates withdrew from Yemen, redirected its attention to other conflict zones, and deepened its diplomatic, trade, and security ties with Israel.
claimEgypt worked to de-escalate recurring armed confrontations between Hamas and Israel in the Gaza Strip to reduce violence, maintain regional stability, and refocus attention on the Palestinian cause.
claimIsrael's military conflict has crippled much of Hamas's military infrastructure and its allied Palestinian factions, while also depleting Hezbollah's stockpiles of Iranian-supplied rockets and weaponry.
accountThe Six-Day War, fought between June 5 and June 10, 1967, resulted in the defeat of the Arab armies of Jordan, Egypt, and Syria by Israel.
claimEgypt faces national security threats from its borders adjoining crisis zones, including fallout from Israeli incursions into Gaza, a regional arms race, and the socioeconomic strain of integrating refugees.
claimBetween 2015 and 2023, Israel's Middle East policy utilized a dual strategy of aggressive stances by far-right and religious governments toward Palestinians and Iranian allies, combined with calculated openness toward select regional actors.
claimTo achieve long-term objectives in Syria, such as integrating Turkish-backed militias into governance, pressuring Kurdish factions, returning Syrian refugees, and spearheading reconstruction, Türkiye must coordinate with Iran, Israel, Egypt, and Gulf States.
claimIsrael’s confrontations with the Houthis in Yemen have escalated tensions in the Red Sea, jeopardizing maritime security and further destabilizing the region.
claimThe 2020 Abraham Accords facilitated increased trade, diplomatic, political, and security cooperation between the signatory nations and Israel.
accountPrior to October 7, 2023, Saudi Arabia focused on internal reforms under its Vision 2030 framework, pursued new security agreements with the United States, and explored the possibility of normalizing relations with Israel.
referenceThe 1993 Oslo Accords sought to establish a roadmap for peace through mutual recognition and negotiation between Israel and the Palestinian Authority.
accountIsrael was involved in a war for over a year that ended with a ceasefire agreement on January 19, 2025.
accountIsrael pursued a strategy of escalating settlement activities in the West Bank and East Jerusalem, blockading Gaza, and eroding the Palestinian National Authority's governance capacity to undermine the two-state solution and the principle of land for peace.
claimIsrael has emerged as a strategic winner in the current Middle East conflict, having substantially weakened Hamas, Hezbollah, Iran, and their allies.
claimThe Middle East is currently characterized by direct and proxy conflicts, including the rivalry between Israel and Iran and a regional arms race, which fuel instability.
claimThe relationship between Iran and Israel has resulted in a protracted war of attrition in the Middle East, characterized by mutual escalations and instability.
accountIsrael and Egypt collaborate to manage border tensions and address crises related to Gaza.
accountIsrael maintained a 'cold peace' with Egypt and Jordan while frequently engaging in military clashes with Hamas and allied factions.
claimIran's support for Hamas and its hardline stance against Israel fueled structural tensions with Egypt and Jordan, which are two Arab neighbors of Israel committed to peace initiatives and a two-state solution.
claimThe United States' insistence on conditioning normalization agreements between Saudi Arabia and Israel on the exclusion of Palestinian rights or the two-state solution undermines Saudi Arabia's strategic ambitions.
claimIsrael's military campaigns in Gaza and Lebanon have resulted in significant military and humanitarian consequences.
claimTürkiye maintains a dual approach toward Israel, characterized by public condemnation of Israeli actions alongside covert military and operational cooperation in Syria.
claimCurrent regional policies often entangle Middle Eastern states in direct or proxy conflicts, such as Israel’s tensions with Iran, Türkiye’s intervention in Syria and Iraq, and the military involvement of the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia in Yemen.
accountIranian-supported groups conducted attacks on United States bases in Iraq and Syria, which contributed to regional escalations including the 2020 United States assassination of IRGC commander Qassem Soleimani and prolonged hostilities between Hezbollah and Israel.
claimIsrael has created demilitarized zones in northern Gaza and southern Lebanon through forced displacements.
accountThe second disengagement agreement between Egypt and Israel, brokered by U.S. diplomatic efforts in September 1975, paved the way for peace treaties that eventually restored Sinai to Egyptian sovereignty.
accountGrowing insecurity and violence faced by Israeli citizens led to increased rejection of the two-state solution and deepened societal divisions within Israel.
accountSaudi Arabia pursued a dual-track foreign policy strategy: strengthening its strategic alliance with the United States to secure security guarantees and potential nuclear program support, while simultaneously exploring normalization with Israel contingent on the acceptance of a Palestinian state.
claimThe feasibility of a collective regional security endeavor involving Saudi Arabia, Egypt, the UAE, Türkiye, Israel, and Iran depends on overcoming mutual distrust, conflicting strategic goals, and divergent government policies.
claimPrior to the October 2023 Gaza war, international focus in the Middle East had largely shifted toward the normalization of the Abraham Accords, which involved Israel, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and Morocco.
claimAbu Dhabi is concerned about the potential fallout from the collapse of the Bashar al-Assad regime in Syria, the resurgence of Islamist groups in Syria, and the geopolitical competition among Türkiye, Iran, and Israel in the Arab Mashreq.
claimSince October 2023, Israeli military actions have expanded beyond violence against Palestinians to reflect a broader regional agenda.
claimThe Arab Spring uprisings, occurring between 2011 and 2023, caused radical changes to the foreign policies of six influential regional powers: Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Türkiye, Israel, and Iran.
claimIsrael intensified pressure on Iran and its allies, including both state and nonstate actors, because Israel perceived them as existential threats to its national security.
accountPrior to October 7, 2023, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan sought to mend relations with Israel, leading to the normalization of diplomatic ties with Benjamin Netanyahu's government.
accountThe United Arab Emirates has ended its military involvement in Yemen and redirected its focus toward influencing civil conflicts in Sudan and Libya while maintaining close ties with Israel.
claimThrough 2011, Israeli governments increasingly abandoned the commitments of the 1993 Oslo Accords and the 2002 Arab Peace Initiative, diminishing prospects for a peaceful resolution.
claimIsrael, Iran, Türkiye, and the United Arab Emirates continue to wield military capabilities in ways that perpetuate cycles of violence and delay meaningful collective action in the Middle East.
claimWestern diplomatic efforts were directed toward deepening Israel’s regional integration by focusing on security, diplomacy, trade, and investment.
accountIsrael established bilateral counterterrorism agreements with Egypt and collaborated with Jordan and the UAE on water resource management.
claimIran sustains its regional leverage and thwarts Israel's ambitions by supporting its allies near Israel and reinforcing its militias in Iraq and Yemen.
claimIran and Israel have played central roles in perpetuating violence across Palestine, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, and Yemen.
accountBefore 2011, Türkiye, led by Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the Justice and Development Party (AKP), maintained strong relations with regional neighbors, including a cooperative partnership with Syria and President Bashar al-Assad centered on a shared stance of "resistance" to Israel.
claimIsrael achieved a strategic milestone by isolating Hezbollah from Iranian military and financial support following the fall of the Assad regime in Syria.
claimIsrael has targeted key leadership figures within Hamas and Hezbollah, weakening their organizational and political influence.
accountThe Israeli invasion of Lebanon began on June 6, 1982, and resulted in the occupation of Beirut.
perspectiveIran's sponsorship of armed groups beyond its borders and its disregard for the sovereignty of Arab nations under its influence mirrors the extremism of Israel’s far-right policies.
accountThe Second Lebanon War, fought between Israel and Hezbollah, lasted just over 30 days, beginning on July 12, 2006, and concluding on August 14, 2006.
claimIsrael's ongoing war in Gaza, its obstruction of humanitarian aid, and its disregard for Egypt's red lines regarding the Philadelphi Corridor and the Rafah crossing have placed the peace treaty between Israel and Egypt in a state of crisis.
accountThe United Arab Emirates attempted to leverage its relationship with Israel to push for a ceasefire, facilitate humanitarian aid, and build regional consensus on governance for postwar Gaza and Lebanon.
claimSuccessive far-right Israeli governments established an apartheid-like regime that subjected Palestinians to structural violence, dispossession, and dehumanization.
claimIsrael escalated its military offensives against Iran and its proxies in Syria, Iraq, and Yemen in response to attacks from the Iranian bloc.
claimIsrael's actions pose a threat to the national interests of Egypt and Jordan due to the risk of forced Palestinian displacement into their territories.
claimMiddle Eastern countries including Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Türkiye, Israel, and Iran wield significant influence beyond their borders through political, military, economic, and diplomatic domains.
Iran War: A Defining Moment for the Middle East—Global Analysis ... ajc.org American Jewish Committee 35 facts
claimBrazil, Chile, and Colombia condemned the U.S.-Israeli strikes against Iran, while Argentina and Paraguay have backed the strikes.
claimHezbollah began firing rockets and explosive drones primarily at Northern Israel in response to Iranian pressure.
measurementThe Israel Defense Forces called up more than 100,000 reservists to ensure stability along Israel’s borders.
claimIsraeli officials have indicated that the conflict with Iran involves not only direct military confrontation but also the management of regional spillovers and emerging fronts, including Hezbollah in Lebanon, the Houthis, pro-Iranian Iraqi militias, and potential unrest among Palestinians.
claimThe Israeli strategy includes the elimination of top Iranian leaders, such as Ali Khamenei, and attacks on regime symbols to create conditions for the Iranian people to confront the regime and lead towards change.
perspectiveSpanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez criticized the U.S.–Israeli military operation against Iran, warning that it could escalate regional tensions and undermine international stability.
accountFollowing the declaration of a special emergency status in Israel, hospitals moved patients to underground facilities, schools and universities closed, only essential workplaces remained open, and Israeli airspace was closed until further notice.
perspectiveEuropean Parliament President Roberta Metsola condemned Iranian attacks on Israel and Gulf states and voiced support for democratic change in Iran, while cautioning against a spiral of escalation.
claimFrance, Germany, and the United Kingdom have coordinated defensive support for countries targeted by the Iranian regime, including Israel and Gulf states.
claimThe United Arab Emirates' air defense systems, which utilize American and Israeli technologies, intercepted nearly all of the hundreds of missiles and drones that entered local airspace in recent days.
claimIsraeli policy prioritizes military options when existential threats are perceived to outpace diplomatic remedies.
accountFollowing the death of Iran’s supreme leader, some Iranian diaspora groups in European cities celebrated and expressed gratitude toward Israel, while simultaneously voicing concern for relatives and civilians living in Iran.
claimNorway, a non-EU European country, criticized the U.S.–Israeli military operation against Iran.
claimSpain has emerged as a notable European outlier regarding the response to the conflict between Israel and Iran.
perspectiveFrance condemned Iranian retaliation against Israel while reinforcing its military presence in the region and emphasizing a defensive posture and diplomacy.
accountOn February 28, 2026, Israel initiated a major military campaign against the Islamic Republic of Iran named Operation Lion’s Roar.
claimThe combined U.S.-Israel military campaign against Iran has achieved many of its initial military objectives.
claimThe conflict between Israel and Iran is rooted in disputes regarding Iran’s nuclear ambitions, ballistic missile programs, and support for terror proxies throughout the Middle East.
claimSpain was the only major European Union government to clearly oppose the U.S.–Israeli military strikes against Iran.
accountIndian Prime Minister Narendra Modi visited Israel two days before the U.S. and Israel launched strikes against Iran.
claimResidents in the Gulf region anticipated that if the United States or Israel struck Iran, the Iranian regime would retaliate against U.S. military sites, including Al Dhafra Air Base (located less than 20 miles from the center of Abu Dhabi) and bases in Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, and Saudi Arabia.
claimAlbanian Prime Minister Edi Rama expressed support for the U.S.–Israeli military operation against Iran, specifically praising U.S. military support for Israel.
claimAcross the Indo-Pacific region, most governments have urged restraint and diplomacy regarding the U.S.-Israeli strikes against Iran, with China standing out as the most vocal critic.
perspectiveSome political circles argue that Israel dragged the United States into a war that was not aligned with U.S. national interests.
accountOperation Lion’s Roar was a combined offensive by Israel and the United States that followed failed diplomatic efforts to curb Iran’s nuclear development.
accountIsrael launched a military operation in Lebanon against Hezbollah terror sites and evacuated parts of South Lebanon of civilians to ensure their safety.
claimIsraeli authorities are preparing for a post-conflict environment where threats could re-emerge or evolve, emphasizing the importance of sustained readiness and civil defense systems to mitigate attacks on civilians.
claimIsrael and several Arab states are currently more strategically aligned than at any point in recent history.
perspectiveMany Republican lawmakers support the U.S.–Israel strikes on Iran, framing the operation as a response to Iran’s nuclear ambitions and regional aggression while emphasizing solidarity with Israel and executive authority.
claimThe Czech Republic supported the U.S.–Israeli military operation against Iran, citing Iran’s nuclear program and its support for militant groups as threats to European security.
claimGermany, working alongside France and the United Kingdom, condemned Iranian retaliation against Israel while advocating for negotiations.
claimIndonesia offered to mediate the conflict between Iran and the U.S./Israel, though the offer is viewed as unrealistic due to Indonesia's lack of key relationships and direct stakes in the conflict.
claimPrime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu suggested that the goals of the Israeli military operation extend beyond immediate battlefield achievements to include long-term regional stability and deterrence.
measurementHamas killed nearly 2,000 people in Israel, including 46 Americans, and took 251 hostages, including 12 Americans.
claimThe government of Argentina supported the U.S.–Israeli military operations against the Iranian regime and expressed solidarity with the Iranian people.
Policy Steps to Prevent a Nuclear Iran | The Washington Institute washingtoninstitute.org Michael Singh · The Washington Institute Jan 28, 2025 32 facts
claimThe Iranian regime provided arms, training, and funding to Hamas, Hezbollah, Yemen’s Houthi rebels, and Iraqi Shia militias, which enabled the Hamas-led attack against Israel on October 7, 2023.
accountOn April 13, 2024, Iran launched hundreds of drones, cruise missiles, and ballistic missiles at Israel, which were almost completely defeated by a U.S.-led regional coalition.
perspectiveThe 'photo op' diplomacy scenario is considered unlikely because it would require both Israel's acquiescence and Iran's abandonment of the anti-Americanism central to the Iranian regime's ideology.
claimIsrael would require specific military articles and U.S. assistance to defend against an Iranian response to conduct a successful strike on Iran.
accountFollowing the Israeli strike that killed Hezbollah secretary-general Hassan Nasrallah in September 2024, Iran launched a missile salvo at Israel that failed and prompted an Israeli retaliation that reportedly decimated Iranian air and missile defenses and offensive missile-production capabilities.
claimIsrael has recently called Iran's bluff regarding its deterrence strategy.
claimDeepening military cooperation between Iran and Russia or China could increase the stakes and risks associated with any potential Israeli or U.S. military action against Iran.
perspectiveIsrael is currently debating whether to conduct military strikes against Iran's nuclear program, with arguments ranging from the belief that the opportunity is optimal to the belief that the regime would collapse if targeted.
claimThere is no consensus among the United States, Israel, and other nations regarding what specific actions to take against Iran or what the objectives of such actions should be.
claimU.S. policy toward Iran since October 7, 2023, has been reactive, focusing on limiting Iranian confrontation with Israel.
claimNeither the United States nor Israel is certain how to accomplish regime change in Iran, which is a more difficult objective than less ambitious goals like disabling Iranian nuclear facilities.
claimAs Donald Trump begins his second term as president, he faces a situation where Iran is vulnerable but closer to nuclear weapons, and Israel is closer to striking Iran, which would require U.S. military support.
claimIran uses deterrence to prevent direct strikes against its territory, threatening that such attacks would trigger Hezbollah missile barrages against Israel or strikes against U.S. interests in the Gulf.
claimThere is a belief in the United States, Israel, and other nations that Iran's vulnerability and advanced nuclear efforts create a need and opportunity to curtail threats posed by the Iranian regime.
claimIn the event of an Israeli strike on Iran, the United States will need to assess the damage to Iran's nuclear program, likely without the presence of UN inspectors who may have been expelled or withdrawn.
claimPresident Trump should continue President Biden’s policy of surging military support into the region to support Israel by providing military articles, training for strikes, and conducting joint military exercises with the Israel Defense Forces.
accountFollowing October 7, 2023, Iranian proxies achieved significant operational feats, including Hamas holding territory in Israel, the forced evacuation of Israeli communities, and the Houthis effectively closing a key maritime passage despite U.S. Navy efforts to reopen it.
perspectiveThe author argues that an Israeli military strike on Iran would likely require U.S. support, including military supplies and defense against potential Iranian retaliation.
claimThe April 13, 2024, Iranian attack on Israel demonstrated a significant gap between the conventional military capabilities of Iran and those of the United States, Israel, and their regional partners.
claimThe Trump administration must plan for the possibility of preemptive Israeli military strikes against Iran, including potential U.S. support for Israel and the protection of American and partner interests.
claimThe regional conflict following October 7, 2023, derailed near-term prospects for Israel-Saudi Arabia normalization.
accountThe Biden administration provided military assistance to Israel to defend against Iranian responses in April and October 2024.
claimThe United States government must prepare for the potential necessity of United States or Israeli military action against Iran.
perspectiveThe Trump administration should coordinate military, economic, and diplomatic pressure against Iran in collaboration with Israel, regional partners, and the E3 (France, Germany, and the UK) before the JCPOA 'snapback' provision expires in late 2025.
perspectiveThe Trump administration should invest in intelligence resources to monitor Iran's nuclear activities and develop, in coordination with Israel and other allies, common indicators for an active Iranian nuclear breakout attempt.
claimIsrael is actively debating whether to conduct military strikes against Iran's nuclear program.
claimIn 2024, Iran shifted its strategy from striking adversaries through proxies to confronting Israel directly.
claimMilitary strikes by Israel against Iran's nuclear program are expected to draw in United States forces, with the primary uncertainty being the extent of that involvement.
claimThe current Iranian regime is invested in an ideology of anti-Americanism and rejection of Israel, and likely fears that abandoning these tenets would pose an internal threat to its survival.
claimIt is unclear if U.S. and Israeli policymakers know how to effectuate regime change in Iran without resorting to an Iraq- or Afghanistan-style military occupation, an option that few in the United States are prepared to contemplate.
claimIf Israeli strikes fail to reliably eliminate Iran's nuclear breakout capability, the United States will need to develop a new strategy focused on either diplomacy or follow-up strikes to address residual nuclear capabilities.
perspectiveThe author argues that because Israel has lower military capabilities than the United States and because United States interests are likely to be targeted by Iran regardless of who conducts strikes, the United States should conduct the strikes to ensure effectiveness.
Twenty questions (and expert answers) about the Iran war atlanticcouncil.org Atlantic Council Mar 11, 2026 28 facts
claimThe Iranian regime actively meddles in the West Bank by supporting rogue Palestinian militants and plots to destabilize the Palestinian Authority, with the goal of encouraging heavy-handed Israeli military actions to trigger chaos and a 'Third Intifada.'
claimIranian-aligned elements of Hamas and other Palestinian groups will experience significant setbacks following the events of October 7, which strengthens Israel's position in the conflict and its influence over Gaza's future trajectory.
claimIsrael and the United States have expressed opposition to the ascension of Mojtaba Khamenei, creating the possibility that he may be targeted in future US or Israeli military actions.
accountIsrael launched a major campaign in Lebanon following attacks from Hezbollah, which included airstrikes in southern Beirut and an expanded Israeli military presence in southern Lebanon.
claimThere is a risk that a battered and angry Iranian regime might deploy limited resources to support extreme terror activities in Israel, Gaza, and the West Bank by utilizing Palestinian elements sympathetic to Tehran or motivated by financial incentives.
accountPublic sentiment in Iran shifted following Israeli strikes on oil depots in Tehran and the destruction of cultural heritage sites during the second week of the war.
claimIsrael has expanded its strategic objectives in the conflict to include the collapse of the Iranian regime, following the twelve-day war that occurred in June 2025.
claimKurdish forces could stretch the Iranian regime's resources thin and reduce military pressure on the Gulf states and Israel.
accountDuring the twelve-day war in June 2025, Israeli and US strikes significantly set back the Iranian nuclear program, though some Iranian ballistic missile attacks successfully penetrated Israeli and US missile defenses.
measurementIran and its proxies have launched tens of thousands of rockets and missiles against Israeli civilian targets over the past twenty years.
claimHezbollah retains significant military capabilities, though its ability to mount a campaign is challenged by persistent Israeli attacks and potential efforts by Lebanese authorities to limit its activities.
claimThe Trump administration has offered inconsistent explanations regarding its strategic objectives for the war with Iran, though some statements calling for 'unconditional surrender' and the creation of conditions for the Iranian people to take over their institutions align with Israeli goals.
claimThere is an assumption among some in Washington that Iran will stop fighting when Donald Trump and Israel decide to end the war.
claimArab Gulf countries are on the front lines of the conflict involving Iran, while the United States and Israel lead operations against Iran.
claimThere are three potential scenarios for Houthi involvement in an Iran-related war: (1) limited strikes on Israel to demonstrate solidarity with Iran; (2) limited strikes on Red Sea shipping to test Saudi red lines or extract concessions; or (3) widespread attacks on Red Sea shipping, Saudi Arabia, and ground offensives in Yemen to seize oil and gas resources.
claimThe current conflict between Iran and the US/Israel is distinct from the twelve-day war in 2025 or other previous conflicts where Iran rapidly de-escalated.
claimIran has ambitions to increase its production of ballistic missiles to levels between two thousand and ten thousand, which Israel assesses could overwhelm its defensive interceptor stockpiles and pose a strategic threat.
claimIf Kurdish forces were to take and hold territory in northern Iran, they could create a buffer zone that would be beneficial to Israel and the West.
claimIran may only accept an off-ramp to a conflict if it ensures there is not another near-term war, which would likely entail compelling the United States to enforce a cease-fire that Israel adheres to.
claimHamas received direct financial and material support from the Islamic Republic of Iran over the past twenty years, which facilitated Hamas's development into a chief Iranian proxy near Israel.
claimDaniel B. Shapiro, a distinguished fellow with the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Middle East Security Initiative, asserts that if a gap opens between Israeli and United States goals regarding the war with Iran, Donald Trump will likely determine when the war ends and impose that endpoint on Israel, even if it falls short of regime change.
claimThe Lebanese government views the Israeli military campaign as a threat to its efforts to navigate an economic and political crisis, and is actively pursuing negotiations with Israel and the United States while attempting to crack down on Hezbollah.
perspectiveFrom the perspective of the Iranian regime, a cessation of hostilities would be a temporary respite before the United States or Israel restarts the conflict after replenishing military supplies.
claimIsraeli military targeting during the war has included Iranian regime leadership, state security organs involved in suppressing protests (specifically the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the Basij militia, and police), and oil storage tanks in Tehran.
accountThe Trump administration previously assumed that Iran would capitulate in nuclear talks and not respond forcefully to the war initiated by Trump and Israel on February 28.
claimIsrael planned to strike Iranian ballistic missile threats in 2026 due to concerns about limited interceptor stockpiles and the potential for Iranian missiles to overwhelm Israeli defenses.
referenceAhmed Fouad Alkhatib leads Realign For Palestine, an Atlantic Council project that challenges entrenched narratives in the Israel and Palestine discourse and develops a new policy framework for rejuvenated pro-Palestine advocacy.
claimIf the United States indicates a desire to stop the war, Israel could conceivably continue the war alone but would likely scale down its operations.
An Integrated U.S. Strategy to Address Iran's Nuclear and Regional ... carnegieendowment.org William J. Burns, Michèle Flournoy · Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Oct 26, 2017 28 facts
claimIsrael's threat assessment regarding Iran has evolved to include Iran's buildup of Hezbollah as a sophisticated proxy on Israel's northern border, as well as Iranian support for Islamic Jihad and Hamas.
perspectiveThe United States should prioritize keeping Iran out of the Golan Heights and Israel's border areas over limiting Iranian control of lines of communication in Syria and Iraq.
claimIran views cyber warfare as a credible retaliatory threat against the political and economic institutions of the United States, Israel, and Saudi Arabia.
perspectiveRussia's primary regional concern regarding Iran is finding a balance between Iranian and Israeli interests in Syria, where Iran acts as a situational ally and Israel as a conditional friend.
claimIran is more likely to be amenable to regional or global nuclear initiatives than to approaches that single it out, though Iran frequently cites double standards regarding the United States and Israel.
perspectiveRussia condemns U.S. military actions against Iranian interests but maintains a higher tolerance for Israeli military actions.
claimThe Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) temporarily diminished the acuteness of the Iranian nuclear threat for Israel, but also expanded Iran's income and capacity to increase its struggle against Israel through proxies and the development of long-range, accurate missiles.
claimThe United States supports the Southern Front, a coalition of moderate fighters controlling parts of southwest Syria, primarily to protect Israel and Jordan.
accountThe 1979 Islamic Revolution in Iran fundamentally transformed Iran's attitude toward Israel from partnership and cooperation to visceral enmity, rivalry, and confrontation.
claimSince the early 2000s, Iran has become Israel's preeminent security threat, characterized by rhetoric challenging Israel's right to exist, an aggressive nuclear weapons program, and active support for proxy wars against Israel.
claimIsrael's perception of the Iranian threat has escalated due to Iran's intervention in the Syrian civil war, the deployment of Iranian troops in Syria capable of opening a new front against Israel, and efforts to upgrade Hezbollah's armaments.
perspectiveRussia would not support Iran if Iran initiated unprovoked military action against the United States or Israel.
claimIsrael is shifting its mix of responses to the Iranian threat due to anxieties about the U.S. regional role, opportunities for collaboration with Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, and the reemergence of Russia as a major Middle East player.
quoteCarnegie nuclear expert Mark Hibbs stated: “If Tehran aimed to divide the P5+1 and aggravate Israel and Western countries, it might do things not expressly forbidden by the JCPOA but that would not be in the spirit of the accord. Iran’s scientists might do theoretical studies suggesting they are interested in nuclear weapons, enriching uranium with lasers, and plutonium metallurgy; Iran’s diplomats might get suddenly tougher in negotiations with the IAEA over access to places inspectors want to visit.”
perspectiveIsrael's preferred policy for confronting the Iranian threat is a combination of indigenous capabilities and operations, supported by intimate collaboration with the United States.
accountThe Trump administration agreed to a ceasefire in southwest Syria with Russia and Jordan to address concerns regarding Iranian forces near the Israeli border.
claimIsrael is preparing for a potential direct military confrontation with Iran and its proxies if Iran resumes its pursuit of nuclear weapons, establishes a permanent military presence in Syria, or provides strategically destabilizing capabilities to Hezbollah, particularly if Israel perceives it is acting alone.
procedureIsrael's current response to the Iranian threat consists of deterrence (supported by long-range force projection and multilayered missile defenses), intelligence and covert actions, low-key military interdictions, and diplomacy.
perspectiveRussia acknowledges Israeli security interests but recognizes that Iran will not accept being excluded from Syria or allow its supply line to Hezbollah to be severed.
perspectiveIsrael has expressed concern that if Russian forces monitor the ceasefire agreement in southwest Syria, they will fail to prevent Iranian encroachment into the area.
perspectiveRussia views the United States as a hegemonic power seeking to perpetuate global dominance, while viewing Israel as a state protecting its vital security interests.
claimThe potential establishment of an Iranian naval base in Syria or the deployment of high-end conventional forces could fundamentally reshape the strategic balance in the Levant and threaten Israel.
claimIran's regional strategy centers on countering the United States and Israel, but it has increasingly focused on competition with Saudi Arabia, which Iran blames for the rise of Sunni radical groups like the Islamic State.
claimMost major countries, excluding the United States, Israel, and Saudi Arabia, view Iran as a stable regional power and a tactical ally against radical Sunni jihadists like the Islamic State.
claimIsraeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that Israel opposed the cease-fire deal for southern Syria that was reached by the United States and Russia, as reported by Haaretz on July 16, 2017.
perspectiveRussia does not raise the issue of Israel's nuclear weapons because Russia regards them as an ultimate deterrence.
claimIranian foreign policy actions, ranging from activities in Syria to Venezuela, are framed by the Iranian government as efforts to resist the United States and Israel, while domestic unrest is frequently attributed to American and Zionist plots.
perspectiveThe United States should oppose Iranian conventional military buildups in Syria by interdicting weapons shipments, exposing Iranian behavior, assisting Israel in countering Iranian actions, and pressing Russia to diplomatically prevent such a buildup.
How to Handle Iran's Nuclear Ambitions - New Lines Institute newlinesinstitute.org Newlines Institute Jul 23, 2025 24 facts
perspectiveA diplomatic agreement between Iran and Israel, modeled after the Abraham Accords, could facilitate a state of coexistence between the two nations, which the author argues is less costly than war.
claimIsrael maintains an undisclosed and unacknowledged nuclear weapons program, which it views as a core pillar of its defense doctrine to maintain a strategic monopoly on nuclear weapons in the Middle East.
claimThe United States and Israel play key roles in shaping the trajectory of the Iranian nuclear program and creating the current geopolitical situation.
claimThe United States joined Israel in targeting Iran's underground nuclear facilities with bombing raids, though there is little evidence these raids destroyed the facilities.
claimIran accused Israel of deliberately sabotaging diplomacy and declared that further negotiations with the United States would remain frozen until Israeli operations ceased.
perspectiveThe New Lines Institute suggests the U.S. must decouple its policy from Israeli maximalism by leveraging influence to halt unilateral Israeli escalations that sabotage diplomacy.
claimIf Iran proliferates nuclear weapons, Israel's nuclear posture may shift dramatically, and regional proliferation may become more likely as actors such as Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Egypt have expressed interest in nuclear deterrence.
claimIsrael launched attacks on Iranian nuclear facilities, which the New Lines Institute article characterizes as contrary to U.S. strategic interests and a move that played spoiler to U.S.-Iran negotiations.
claimIsrael opposed the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) from its inception, arguing that Iran would use the agreement as cover to advance its nuclear ambitions.
perspectiveThe United States policy toward Iran should not be subcontracted to an ally with a maximalist and expansionist endgame, and the U.S. should use its military, diplomatic, and financial leverage to press Israel into restraint.
claimThe emergence of a latent Iranian nuclear deterrent would constrain Israeli freedom of action and threaten Israeli security dominance in the region.
claimThe narrative of Iran as a uniquely dangerous adversary was reinforced by Tehran’s support for nonstate actors, its anti-Israel rhetoric, and its 'Death to America' chants.
claimIsrael has long opposed any agreement that leaves any part of the Iranian nuclear program intact.
accountNegotiations between the United States and Iran suffered a sharp rupture when Israel launched a series of direct strikes against Iranian military and nuclear infrastructure two days before talks were scheduled to resume in Rome.
claimSuccessfully brokering a diplomatic solution between Iran and Israel would constitute one of the greatest diplomatic achievements in modern history, given the current decline of stability in the Middle East.
perspectiveIsrael perceives Iran as an existential threat primarily due to Iran's intent, characterized by the rejection of Israel's legitimacy, support for proxies near Israeli borders, and regional influence.
claimU.S. and Israeli military strikes against Iran empower the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), despite the stated goal of weakening Iran's capabilities.
claimThe United States and Israel operate from a position of sustained dominance tempered by a long history of adversarial and existential threats, while Iran's posture is shaped by historical trauma, regime survival, and deterrence logic.
claimAnimosity between Israel and Iran began following the 1979 Islamic Revolution, after Iran declared Israel an enemy of Islam, engaged in proxy warfare, and began supporting the Palestinian cause.
claimIsrael's strategic endgame regarding Iran involves dismantling the current regime, destroying Iran's offensive infrastructure, eliminating its proxy capabilities, and ending Iran's regional influence.
perspectiveThe Israeli government has consistently opposed any diplomatic resolution that would allow Iran to maintain any form of nuclear program.
perspectiveThe Israeli government views Iran as an existential threat.
accountSince the 1990s, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has warned that Iran was on the verge of acquiring a nuclear bomb and intended to attack Israel or the West.
perspectiveIsrael criticized the 2015 JCPOA, claiming that Iran was concealing the true extent of its nuclear activities from International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) inspectors.
United States and Iran on the Brink: What's at Stake? - CSIS csis.org CSIS 23 facts
claimPresident Donald Trump faces pressure from political figures and Israeli officials who argue that military action against Iran is necessary to demonstrate that the United States is in charge.
claimThe Houthi movement has consistently attacked in response to U.S. and Israeli strikes throughout June 2025.
claimVali Nasr claims that Iran perceives threatening Gulf economies as a more effective deterrent against US military action than threatening Israel, because Gulf allies have direct access to President Donald Trump and can urge him to avoid war.
perspectiveDr. Nasr believes Israel's strategic calculus regarding Iran differs from that of the United States, making the Israeli role in the conflict uncertain and worthy of observation.
claimThe Iranian leadership perceives that the United States and Israel currently believe they can escalate military pressure on Iran, strike at will, and subsequently force Iran to negotiate a surrender deal involving the abandonment of proxies, missiles, and the nuclear program in exchange for potential sanctions relief.
claimIran is currently facing two primary pressures: the threat of direct military attack from the United States or Israel, and domestic protests caused by American economic sanctions.
perspectiveSome members of the Israeli security establishment doubt that Reza Pahlavi could successfully lead Iran to stability and restore relations with Israel if the current Iranian regime were toppled.
perspectiveIsrael views the threat from Iran as existential because Iranian ideology explicitly calls for the destruction of Israel.
perspectiveThe Israeli security establishment believes Iran intends to reconstitute its nuclear program, air defenses, and ballistic missile capabilities to continue posing a threat.
claimThe Israeli leadership is facing elections in the coming months.
claimIranian Revolutionary Guard commanders have threatened to unleash missiles on Israeli cities if Israel attacks Iran directly.
claimThe United States and Israel are pressuring Iran toward negotiations by 'rattling the saber' and utilizing threats.
claimIranian strategists calculated that a massive retaliation against the United States and Israel may be more advantageous than limited responses, due to concerns about the sustainability of a prolonged conflict involving missile and interceptor depletion.
claimAmbassador Ratney posits that Iran may perceive a 'use or lose' scenario where they feel compelled to launch military assets quickly against the United States or Israel, fearing that their military capabilities would otherwise be destroyed in a preemptive strike.
perspectiveIsrael views the conflict with Iran as a fundamental strategic issue rather than solely a political one.
claimIsrael was satisfied with the outcome of a recent 12-day war, which resulted in the degradation of Iranian air defenses and impacted the Iranian nuclear program.
perspectiveMr. Farsakh expresses skepticism that U.S. or Israeli military strikes against Iran have concluded, citing recent military buildups and events in Venezuela.
accountIn June 2025, Israel initiated strikes against Iran, and President Trump intervened by allowing a two-week period for a response, though war occurred two days later.
perspectiveFollowing the October 7th attacks, Israel has adopted a policy of preemption at all costs, refusing to tolerate a nuclear-armed Iran or an Iran possessing significant ballistic missile capabilities.
accountDr. Vali Nasr observes that in previous conflicts, Israel failed to destroy Iran's ballistic missile capabilities despite hitting many launchers, and notes that Iran demonstrated the ability to retaliate within 24 hours even after losing 30 military commanders.
claimThe Iranian leadership believes that symbolic reactions to United States or Israeli attacks are counterproductive because such responses perpetuate the cycle of conflict and lead to further strikes against Iran.
claimNegotiations between the involved parties are currently stalled, and both Israel and the United States are poised to attack.
claimWashington, Israel, and the UAE are attempting to unify their diplomatic voices to prevent Iran from exploiting divisions in their relationships.
The Middle East, including the Palestinian Question, April 2026 ... securitycouncilreport.org Security Council Report 1 day ago 21 facts
claimThe Working Group on discrimination against women and girls stated on 19 March 2026 that Israel's restrictions on humanitarian operations in Gaza and the West Bank negatively impact women and girls, noting that people in vulnerable situations experience the most severe impacts.
claimThe International Court of Justice (ICJ) issued an advisory opinion in July 2024 declaring Israel’s occupation of the Occupied Palestinian Territory (OPT) unlawful and calling on all states to refrain from recognizing or aiding the occupation.
accountIran retaliated against the joint Israeli-US strikes by attacking Israel, US bases, and allied assets in the Middle East, and by effectively closing the Strait of Hormuz.
claimBoth Israel and Iran have hit critical infrastructure and civilian objects, including residential buildings, energy infrastructure, fuel depots, and desalination plants, during the conflict that began in February 2026.
claimThe Israeli government has implemented measures to accelerate settlement activity in the West Bank, deepening administrative control over parts of the territory and facilitating the expropriation of Palestinian land.
measurementIn December 2025, Israel issued regulations restricting the operations of 37 international humanitarian organisations in Gaza and the West Bank.
claimIsrael closed all Gaza border crossings, including Rafah, on 28 February 2026 following the outbreak of regional hostilities, blocking humanitarian aid, medical evacuations, and refugee returns.
claimThe Rafah border crossing is the only crossing in Gaza that does not border Israel and had been closed since May 2024, preventing medical evacuations and the return of Palestinian refugees.
accountBetween 1 November 2024 and 31 October 2025, the Israeli government undertook concerted measures to consolidate its annexation of large parts of the Occupied Palestinian Territories, including the authorization and expansion of settlements, outposts, and associated infrastructure, and the transfer of governance powers from the military to Israeli civilian authorities in the occupied West Bank.
perspectiveChina and Russia abstained from voting on resolution 2817, criticizing the resolution as unbalanced because it failed to address the initial Israeli–US strikes on Iran.
accountDuring the conflict starting 28 February 2026, Israel and the US targeted Iran’s nuclear infrastructure, ballistic missile facilities, and naval assets, and killed several top military and political officials, including Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council Ali Larijani.
claimThe UN High Commissioner called on Israel to immediately and completely cease and reverse the establishment and expansion of Israeli settlements in the Occupied Palestinian Territory (OPT), including East Jerusalem, and to evacuate all Israeli settlers.
quoteThe Working Group concludes that, by obstructing access to aid, “Israel is denying women and girls protection and support they are entitled to under international law”.
claimOn 11 March 2026, the UN Security Council adopted resolution 2817, which condemned Iran’s strikes against Israel and other countries, deplored the targeting of civilians and civilian objects, and demanded that Iran immediately halt the attacks and comply with international law.
claimIsrael announced in late January 2026 that the Rafah border crossing to Egypt would partially re-open for pedestrian passage following the return of the remains of the last hostage held by Hamas.
claimJoint Israeli–US strikes on Iran began on 28 February 2026, triggering a sharp escalation in hostilities in the Middle East.
claimIsrael re-opened the Kerem Shalom crossing on 2 March 2026, which remains the only operational crossing point for humanitarian and commercial supplies into Gaza.
claimIsrael announced on 15 March 2026 that the Rafah crossing would partially open again for pedestrians.
claimThe implementation of Israeli government measures regarding settlements has accelerated the displacement of Palestinians from increasingly large parts of the occupied West Bank, including East Jerusalem, reshaping the physical and demographic reality of the occupied territories.
procedureThe proposal presented to Hamas for decommissioning weapons is based on five principles: 1) reciprocity linking weapons decommissioning to Israel’s staged withdrawal from Gaza; 2) sequencing where heavy weapons are decommissioned before small arms; 3) verification of compliance as a condition for reconstruction; 4) reintegration and amnesty programs for Hamas members; and 5) the possibility of timeline extensions if parties are making good faith efforts toward implementation.
perspectiveChina and Russia abstained from voting on resolution 2803, citing reservations regarding the framework's lack of clarity on the role of the BoP, the scope of the ISF’s mandate, the timeline for a full Israeli withdrawal, and the pathway to restored Palestinian governance and statehood.
Power Transition in the Middle East: The Intersection of US Global ... populismstudies.org Ibrahim Ozturk · European Center for Populism Studies Mar 15, 2026 20 facts
perspectiveProfessor Ibrahim Ozturk argues that the 2026 US-Israeli strikes on Iran reflect a strategic intersection of energy security, regional military dynamics, and intensifying great-power rivalry between the United States and China.
claimIsrael, Greece, and Cyprus have developed an institutionalized trilateral framework for security, maritime coordination, energy cooperation, connectivity, and technological partnership that excludes Turkey.
claimThe International Court of Justice issued an advisory opinion on July 19, 2024, concerning the legal consequences arising from the policies and practices of Israel in the Occupied Palestinian Territory, including East Jerusalem.
claimThe Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) condemned Israeli attacks on Iran, a stance that coexists with muted and ambivalent official reactions from Gulf states.
claimThe Syrian leadership has engaged in revived US-mediated security talks with Israel, demonstrating a pragmatic convergence of interests.
claimGreece, Israel, and Cyprus plan to increase the frequency and intensity of their joint military exercises in the eastern Mediterranean region.
claimIsrael has attempted to achieve regional dominance through military deterrence, strategic partnerships, and corridor politics in response to global uncertainty.
claimIsrael is pursuing a dual strategy of expansion through both partnership and coercion to secure regional dominance.
claimIsrael views Iranian missile capabilities, proxy networks, and nuclear advances as existential or near-existential threats.
perspectiveIsrael is attempting to transform multipolar disorder into a hierarchical regional order by building networks, managing enemies, and using both cooperation and calibrated force to establish itself as the dominant regional power.
claimIndia–Israel relations have expanded beyond bilateral cooperation into the strategic architecture of an emerging Indo-Mediterranean order, partly facilitated by the India–Middle East–Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC).
claimThe International Court of Justice has ruled that Israel’s ongoing presence in the occupied Palestinian territory is illegal.
measurementAccording to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), Israel is widely recognized to possess a nuclear arsenal.
claimThe Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) issued a strong condemnation of Israeli attacks on Iran.
claimThe 2026 US-Israeli military stand-off with Iran aims to weaken Iran’s nuclear and missile capabilities to bolster Israel’s regional dominance.
claimSaudi Arabia stated that it will not establish diplomatic ties with Israel without the creation of a Palestinian state, in response to actions by Donald Trump.
claimThe European Union has struggled to develop a clear and independent position on Israel while Washington has become a source of pressure and unpredictability for Europe.
claimThe Trump administration's foreign policies are being guided by eschatological beliefs, evidenced by the appointment of Christian-Zionist ideologues to key bureaucratic positions in the United States and diplomatic roles abroad, particularly in Israel and the surrounding region.
measurementBrent crude oil prices reached a peak of $119.50 per barrel on March 9, 2026, following the February 28, 2026, US-Israel strikes on Iran.
claimSyria and Israel have resumed security talks that are mediated by the United States.
The Limits of Iran's Proxy Empire | The New Yorker newyorker.com The New Yorker Mar 12, 2026 18 facts
accountIn May, the Houthis agreed to a ceasefire deal that stopped them from targeting American ships, though they continued to target Israeli ships, following nearly two months of U.S. aerial assaults.
accountDuring the 'Twelve-Day War' in June, Israel attacked Iran, and the United States subsequently joined the conflict by striking Iranian nuclear facilities.
accountIn October, the Houthis announced that their military chief of staff, Muhammad Abd al-Karim al-Ghamari, was killed in Israeli strikes.
accountFollowing the outbreak of the war in Gaza, the Houthis fired ballistic missiles and drones at Israel and imposed a blockade on Red Sea shipping lanes.
claimAll of Iran's proxy groups share a deep ideological hatred of Israel and the United States.
claimThe Houthis could execute a joint pincer movement with Iran by firing long-range missiles at Israel and targeting the oil, energy, and economic infrastructure of Saudi Arabia and other Persian Gulf nations from the south, while Iran strikes those same countries from the north.
accountIsrael's intelligence apparatus infiltrated Iran, killing top security officials and nuclear scientists who were housed at high-security military complexes.
claimThe Houthis are constructing defensive infrastructure, including tunnels, bunkers, and barriers, in anticipation of potential attacks by the United States and Israel.
accountIsraeli strikes in Syria killed senior commanders of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, which crippled Iran's coordination and control capabilities in the region.
claimThe Houthis' recent buildup of defenses is likely intended to prevent the U.S. and Israel from targeting their supreme leader, Abdul Malik al-Houthi, rather than to prepare for supporting Iran.
accountIsrael detonated thousands of pagers belonging to Hezbollah officials in Lebanon and Syria and bombed the group's headquarters in southern Beirut, killing Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah.
accountFollowing the October 7, 2023, Hamas attack on Israel, Israel launched a military campaign in Gaza that resulted in the killing of Hamas leaders and the decimation of the group's military capabilities.
claimThe Houthis are concerned that even if they do not join the war, they could become targets of the U.S. and Israel, or face harsher sanctions if Iran is significantly weakened or the Iranian regime collapses.
accountTop security and political figures within the Iraqi Shiite militias and the Houthis limited their use of technology, including using burner phones and minimizing online activity, to prevent Israeli tracking.
accountIn late August, Israel conducted strikes in Sanaa that killed senior Houthi figures, including the group's Prime Minister and several other ministers.
perspectiveMansour stated that because Iran is now engaged in a direct fight against the United States and Israel, its allied proxy groups are becoming less necessary.
accountThe Houthis fired a limited number of missiles at Israel early in the conflict before ceasing, as they were simultaneously engaged in a conflict with the U.S. and facing Israeli bombing campaigns targeting senior Houthi commanders.
claimDuring the 'Twelve-Day War' in June, Iran's proxies remained largely on the sidelines because they were concerned about surviving U.S. and Israeli retaliation, their own missile and drone stockpiles, domestic stability, and potential political or economic gains from avoiding conflict.
Iran's Geopolitical Footprint: Regional Power or Global Contender? moderndiplomacy.eu Modern Diplomacy Mar 26, 2025 8 facts
claimIran maintains the 'Axis of Resistance,' a coalition including Hezbollah in Lebanon, the Bashar al-Assad regime in Syria, and various Iraqi Shiite militias, to counter Israeli and Western influence.
perspectiveIran positions itself as a defender of oppressed peoples in the Muslim world and as an adversary to the hegemony of the United States, Israel, and Western influence in the Middle East.
perspectiveIran aims to establish itself as a dominant power in the Middle East to challenge regional adversaries, specifically Saudi Arabia and Israel.
claimIran challenges the regional dominance of Saudi Arabia and Israel through its geopolitical depth and involvement in regional conflicts.
claimIran supports Palestinian groups, including Hamas and Islamic Jihad, to challenge Israeli influence in the region.
claimIran views the United States as a major antagonist primarily because the United States supports Iran's regional adversaries, specifically Saudi Arabia and Israel.
claimThe 'Axis of Resistance' is a coalition consisting of Iran, Hezbollah, and the government of Bashar al-Assad, united against Western and Israeli influence.
claimIran's pursuit of regional dominance in the Middle East has resulted in direct confrontation with Saudi Arabia and Israel.
The Expanding Iran War - ISPI ispionline.it ISPI 8 facts
claimThe Arab-majority Hadash party in Israel condemned the attack and warned of the risk of worsening conditions in the West Bank and Gaza.
claimThere are reports of United States support for Iranian-Kurdish separatists and an explicit US-Israeli aim to dismantle Iran’s security apparatus.
accountA massive US-Israeli attack on the Islamic Republic of Iran killed more than 1,000 Iranians and resulted in the death of Iran’s Supreme Guide, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, along with other senior figures in his inner circle on February 28.
accountFollowing the 2024 collapse of the Assad regime, Iran and Israel exacerbated sectarian strife inside Syria, making the country vulnerable to becoming an arena for proxy conflict during the 12-day war of 2025.
claimHistorically neutral actors, specifically the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) members, are being drawn into the conflict between Iran and the US-Israeli coalition and may be forced to respond.
perspectiveTurkey condemns the US-Israeli strikes on Iran while simultaneously criticizing Iran for widening the war by targeting Gulf states.
claimRory Miller suggests that Iranian attacks may contribute to rising energy prices and economic impacts that could force the United States to shorten its military campaign and restrain Israeli ambitions.
perspectiveHezbollah is betting on resistance as a means of survival despite increasing isolation and structural weaknesses, while the Lebanese state risks emerging weaker from a potential truce or facing renewed territorial occupation by Israel.
How China and Russia View the Iran War Differently nationalinterest.org The National Interest 1 day ago 8 facts
claimChina cannot fully align with Iran without jeopardizing its relationship with Israel and, by extension, parts of the West.
claimChina and Russia share commonalities in their foreign policy, including opposition to Western dominance, criticism of Israeli military actions, and the maintenance of close ties with Iran.
claimChina views Israel as a source of technological capability, economic exchange, and a point of engagement within the broader Western ecosystem.
perspectiveRussia views Israel as a counterpoint within its broader narrative of Western overreach.
claimRussia is less inhibited than China in criticizing Israeli actions and aligning rhetorically with Iran.
perspectiveChina maintains a cautious and calculated approach to Israel, avoiding severing ties despite criticizing Israeli military actions.
claimThe differences in strategic culture between China and Russia will continue to shape their policies toward Iran and Israel, as well as their broader roles in a fragmented global order.
accountRussia's relationship with Israel has deteriorated over time, particularly due to disagreements regarding Syria and the fallout from the war in Ukraine.
Iran Conflict Brief: The High Cost of Attacking Energy Infrastructure energypolicy.columbia.edu Daniel Sternoff · Columbia University Center on Global Energy Policy Mar 19, 2026 6 facts
accountIsraeli forces conducted strikes on the South Pars gas field in Iran, which led to retaliatory attacks on Qatar’s Ras Laffan LNG plant and energy assets in the UAE, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia.
accountOn March 18th, Israel launched an attack on the South Pars gas field, which is the largest gas field in Iran and accounts for approximately 70% of Iran's total gas production.
accountOn March 18, 2026, Israel, with the apparent support of the Trump administration, targeted the South Pars gas field, which is the largest gas field on Earth, shared by Qatar and Iran, and Iran's largest domestic energy source.
perspectiveAnne-Sophie Corbeau posits that Iran may be attempting to use economic pressure on Asian and European countries—via energy market disruption—to discourage them from supporting the United States and Israel in the current conflict.
claimPresident Donald Trump expressed reservations regarding an Israeli strike on the South Pars gas field and the potential targeting of oil installations on Iran's Kharg Island.
accountDuring the three weeks prior to the discussion, Israel attacked oil storage facilities located in Iran.
Iranian proxy network in Middle East is in disarray, experts ... jpost.com The Jerusalem Post Jan 27, 2025 5 facts
claimMenashri stated that Israel will follow Donald Trump's lead regarding Iran, noting that both the United States and Israel oppose a nuclear-armed Iran but are each hoping the other will take military action.
claimMenashri noted that Donald Trump pushes for Saudi-Israeli normalization while simultaneously permitting settlement expansions and that Trump desires to detach militarily from the region despite being more involved than previously expected.
claimBaheli observed that Donald Trump appears to favor diplomacy over military action regarding Iran, but Israel's strategic moves remain closely tied to United States policy.
claimBaheli stated that Israel cannot act alone against Iranian nuclear sites and requires United States support.
perspectiveNima Baheli, an Iranian political analyst, stated that Iran's recent military maneuvers and propaganda are primarily intended as external messaging to opponents like the United States and Israel to demonstrate that Iran is not an easy target.
After Khamenei: Regional Reckoning and the Future of Iran's Proxy ... stimson.org Stimson Center Mar 2, 2026 5 facts
claimEfforts to establish a sustainable detente between Iran and Gulf countries have been hindered by mutual mistrust regarding Iranian expansionist objectives and Gulf countries' relations with Israel and the United States, as well as Iran's continued support for Hezbollah and the Yemeni Houthis.
accountIn 2024, Iran's power projection capabilities suffered setbacks with the fall of the Syrian regime of Bashar al-Assad to Turkish-backed Sunni Muslim forces and the assassination of Hezbollah secretary general Hassan Nasrallah by Israel.
claimIranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei died following an Israeli air strike.
accountHezbollah launched missiles and drones against northern Israel on March 2, which dragged Lebanon into the conflict on Iran's side.
claimGulf states are currently reluctant to join US-Israeli attacks against Iran and hope to see the hostilities end as quickly as possible.
We Bombed the Wrong Target Iran's Proxy Network Strategy irregularwarfare.org Irregular Warfare Initiative Mar 10, 2026 5 facts
accountA U.S.-Israeli strike on Kataib Hezbollah’s headquarters in the Jurf al-Nasr area of Babil province on February 28 killed two fighters and wounded three others, prompting the group to pledge to attack U.S. bases.
claimThe Houthis retained power over the majority of Yemen and resumed Red Sea attacks within hours of Operation Epic Fury, despite U.S., U.K., and Israeli military strikes conducted between 2023 and 2025.
accountThe Houthi movement resumed missile and drone attacks on U.S. and Israeli-flagged ships within hours of the commencement of Operation Epic Fury, a pre-positioned response that did not require command authorization from Tehran.
measurementBetween 2019 and 2025, Hezbollah missile barrages displaced over 100,000 Israelis from the north of Israel.
perspectiveA Foreign Policy analysis posits that Iran views its proxy groups as a deterrent against U.S. and Israeli pressure, though these groups face internal pressures from war-exhausted populations and fears of being targeted.
The Israel-Hamas War: Risks of Escalation and Scenarios for ... mei.edu Middle East Institute 5 facts
claimThe Israel-Hamas war began following a massive terrorist attack by Hamas on Israel on October 7, 2023, during which Hamas seized over 150 hostages.
claimHumanitarian organizations are calling for Israel to revoke its evacuation order in Gaza.
accountKhaled Elgindy served as an adviser to the Palestinian leadership in Ramallah on permanent status negotiations with Israel from 2004 to 2009 and participated in the Annapolis negotiations of 2007-08.
claimIsrael has completely sealed off the Gaza Strip, halting all deliveries of food, water, and fuel, and cutting off electricity.
claimBrian Katulis has conducted research in Egypt, Israel, Jordan, and the Palestinian territories.
What Is the Iran Nuclear Deal? | Council on Foreign Relations cfr.org Council on Foreign Relations 5 facts
claimNegotiating nations were concerned that Israel would take preemptive military action against suspected nuclear facilities in Iran, potentially triggering reprisals by Lebanon-based Hezbollah or disruptions to oil transport in the Persian Gulf.
perspectiveProponents of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action argued that the deal would prevent the revival of Iran's nuclear weapons program and reduce the prospects for conflict between Iran and regional rivals, including Israel and Saudi Arabia.
accountThe Iranian parliament passed a law in November 2020 that led to a substantial increase in uranium enrichment at the Fordow facility, following the assassination of a prominent nuclear scientist that Iran attributed to Israel.
accountIran began constructing a centrifuge production center at Natanz in October 2020 to replace a facility destroyed in an attack that Iran blamed on Israel.
perspectiveIsrael explicitly opposed the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, characterizing the agreement as too lenient.
The Strategic Dilemmas : Iranian Politics, the U.S. strategy ... hornreview.org Horn Review Mar 16, 2026 4 facts
perspectiveIsrael seeks to neutralize what it perceives as an existential threat posed by Iran and its regional network.
claimThe United Arab Emirates and Bahrain continue to value economic and technological partnerships with Israel, but remain wary of appearing complicit in policies that inflame regional tensions or provoke Iranian retaliation.
claimThe Abraham Accords established avenues for cooperation between Gulf states and Israel, though the ongoing conflict has strained public opinion across the Gulf and forced governments to balance strategic interests with domestic sensitivities.
claimSaudi Arabia has slowed the pace of its normalization efforts with Israel but has not abandoned the idea, instead recalibrating its approach due to the political and security risks associated with the current regional conflict.
How China and Russia View the Iran War Differently isdp.eu Jagannath Panda · ISDP 2 days ago 4 facts
claimRussia uses the Iran-related conflict to reinforce its narrative of Western destabilization, framing the war as a consequence of United States and Israeli policies.
claimChina and Russia both oppose Western dominance, criticize Israeli military actions, and maintain close ties with Iran.
claimChina maintains a strategy of simultaneous engagement with Iran, Israel, and the Gulf monarchies to remain economically embedded across rival blocs.
claimChina maintains a balancing strategy in the Middle East by simultaneously engaging with Iran, Israel, and the Gulf monarchies to remain economically embedded across rival blocs.
Iran's Strategies in Response To Changes in US-China Relations mepc.org Middle East Policy Council 4 facts
claimIranian officials perceive the war in Ukraine and the October 7, 2023, Hamas attacks on Israel as significant setbacks for the United States.
quoteSupreme Leader Ali Khamenei described the Hamas attacks on Israel as the beginning of a new map for the Middle East centered on the concept of 'de-Americanization.'
claimIran supports the aggressors in the war in Ukraine and the Hamas attacks on Israel, framing its position as resistance against Western oppression of the Muslim world.
claimIran is projecting military power by providing aid to Russia for the war in Ukraine and by fostering an anti-Israeli coalition, viewing these actions as opportunities to expand its influence beyond its traditional regional boundaries.
Five fundamental questions for US foreign policy as the Iran war ... mei.edu Middle East Institute 4 facts
claimThe United States and Israel have encouraged the Iranian people to stand up against the Iranian regime and take control of their own future.
perspectiveApproaching the fourth week of the war, the United States and Israel are observing the limitations of using only air and naval power to remove the Iranian regime.
accountThe United States launched attacks on Iran in concert with Israel.
accountThe Trump administration pursued a military campaign against Iran while going it alone with Israel and largely ignoring the requests of key regional partners to pursue diplomacy.
What Does the Iran War Mean for Global Energy Markets? - CSIS csis.org CSIS Mar 6, 2026 4 facts
claimOPEC+ faces increased difficulty in market management due to growing fiscal pressure on key producers like Saudi Arabia and the complex supply-demand situation resulting from U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iran and subsequent Iranian retaliation.
claimThe United States and Israel claim to have achieved air superiority over Iran, which allows for a shift to aircraft-delivered munitions for more effective targeting.
claimUnited States and Israeli forces are actively diminishing Iran’s missile and drone capabilities.
perspectiveBen Cahill suggests that if the conflict leads to a more pro-American government in Tehran, Qatar’s structural geographic and shipping vulnerabilities could diminish, though this would likely require Qatar to reposition itself alongside the U.S. and Israel.
A “Good Deal” with Iran? Requirements for Preventing a Future ... washingtoninstitute.org The Washington Institute for Near East Policy Feb 12, 2026 4 facts
claimWestern policy concerns regarding Iran include its sponsorship of terrorism, direct and proxy aggression against Israel and the Gulf states, and violence against its own people.
accountZohar Palti serves as the Viterbi International Fellow with The Washington Institute and previously served as the head of the Mossad Intelligence Directorate and the head of the Policy and Political-Military Bureau at Israel’s Ministry of Defense.
claimIran's direct ballistic missile attacks against Israeli civilian populations demonstrate that the Iranian missile program is an operational instrument of military and political coercion rather than a theoretical adjunct to its nuclear ambitions.
claimDespite U.S. and Israeli military strikes against its nuclear infrastructure, Iran has preserved nuclear know-how, developed advanced centrifuges for uranium enrichment, and maintained future nuclear breakout options.
Escalation in the Middle East | MEDECINS SANS FRONTIERES msf-me.org MSF 3 days ago 3 facts
claimThe recent escalation between the United States, Israel, and Iran has not directly impacted Médecins Sans Frontières activities or staff in Yemen, and operations continue as planned.
claimIsrael closed all crossings into Gaza at the end of February, which suspended medical evacuations and prevented thousands of patients from accessing specialized treatment outside the territory.
accountIn late February, United States and Israeli forces carried out airstrikes against Iran, which were followed by retaliatory actions impacting multiple countries across the Middle East.
What Comes Next? Iran Through a Middle Powers Lens belfercenter.org Huynh Trung Dung · Belfer Center Mar 3, 2026 3 facts
claimThe recent U.S.–Israeli assault on Iran represents a rupture in the regional order that impacts middle powers like Vietnam.
claimIsrael adds a layer of complexity to the foreign policy calculations of Vietnam.
claimVietnam has deepened its cooperation with Israel in the sectors of technology and defense, a shift driven by the sanctions-related difficulties Vietnam faces in maintaining its traditional reliance on Russian military assets.
Iran's Regional Proxies: Reshaping the Middle East and ... isdp.eu Institute for Security and Development Policy Feb 27, 2024 3 facts
claimPro-Iran militia groups in Iraq have increased their popularity by projecting themselves as the only credible force capable of challenging the United States and Israel, similar to the popularity Hezbollah gained after the 2006 Israel-Hezbollah war.
claimTehran has strengthened its focus on air defense in recent years to counter Israeli airstrikes targeting Iranian military assets in Lebanon and Syria and to bolster the capabilities of its proxies.
perspectiveThe author argues that it is critical for the U.S. to reassess the nature and level of its support for Israel to avert further escalation and restore trust and credibility in the region.
Experts React | Effects of the Iran War on Energy Markets fpri.org Foreign Policy Research Institute Mar 23, 2026 3 facts
accountIsrael bombed Iran’s South Pars natural gas fields earlier in the week of March 2026.
claimThe Trump administration claimed it had no knowledge of the Israeli bombing of Iran’s South Pars natural gas fields.
perspectiveIran may require guarantees from both the United States and Israel that attacks will not resume before ending the conflict, regardless of any declaration of victory by President Donald Trump.
Iran's Regional Armed Network - Council on Foreign Relations cfr.org Kali Robinson, Will Merrow · Council on Foreign Relations 3 facts
claimIsrael faces regular attacks from Tehran-backed groups, specifically Hamas, Hezbollah, and Palestinian Islamic Jihad, all of which oppose the existence of the Jewish state.
claimYemen's Houthi movement has utilized Iranian support to fire missiles toward Israel and attack commercial ships with alleged Israeli ties in the Red Sea, citing solidarity with Hamas during the Israel-Hamas war.
accountDuring Iran's first-ever direct attack on Israeli soil in April 2024, Iranian partners in Iraq, Lebanon, and Yemen launched drones and rockets at Israel to support Tehran's air strikes.
The impact of the Iran conflict on global energy markets atlanticcouncil.org Atlantic Council 3 facts
measurementFollowing the initial US and Israeli strikes on Iran, US fuel prices, European natural gas costs, and Asian tanker freight rates have risen sharply.
measurementFollowing the initial US and Israeli strikes on Iran, US fuel prices, European natural gas costs, and Asian tanker freight rates have risen sharply.
claimUS and Israeli strikes on Iran and the subsequent response from Tehran have heightened regional tensions and disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Escalation in the Middle East and Beyond unocha.org UN OCHA 7 days ago 3 facts
measurementIn Israel, 18 civilians were killed and over 4,900 were injured, including 715 children, between 28 February and 25 March, according to official figures.
measurementApproximately 4,900 people in 41 municipalities in Israel are reported to be displaced due to complete damage to their houses resulting from strikes by Iranian and non-state-armed groups.
claimStrikes by the United States and Israel in Iran have affected 190 districts across 20 provinces, causing damage to homes, health care facilities, schools, and a water desalination plant.
The Middle East Conflict and the Future of the Region's Political Order internationalaffairs.org.au Australian Institute of International Affairs Mar 17, 2026 2 facts
measurementAt least 13 people have been killed in Israel as a result of the conflict that began with coordinated strikes on 28 February 2026.
measurementAt least 1,255 people have been killed in Iran, with many reported as civilians, following coordinated strikes by the United States and Israel on 28 February 2026.
Winners and Losers: Russia, China, and Europe Respond to the ... carnegieendowment.org Aaron David Miller, Rosa Balfour, Evan A. Feigenbaum, Alexander Gabuev · Carnegie Endowment for International Peace 2 facts
claimThe global economy, the Gulf states, and civilians in the conflict zone are experiencing negative impacts from the ongoing war between the United States, Israel, and Iran.
claimThe United States and Israel are engaged in a war against Iran, which has been ongoing for nearly one month as of March 30, 2026.
A Region at Capacity: War, Displacement, and the Limits of ... mecouncil.org Middle East Council on Global Affairs 2 days ago 2 facts
claimThe war involving Israel, the United States, and Iran highlights the fragility of the humanitarian landscape in the Middle East.
accountIsrael responded to Hezbollah's missile attacks with airstrikes on Hezbollah strongholds in southern Lebanon, the Bekaa Valley, and the Dahiyeh suburb of Beirut.
proxy warfare recalibrated: iran's decentralized proxy strategy in the ... academia.edu Academia.edu 2 facts
accountIsrael conducted strikes against a Houthi port in Yemen following a missile attack on Ben-Gurion Airport, as reported by J. Marks.
claimS. Levaton reported that Israel's 12-day war with Iran in 2025 served as a test of technological dominance.
The Geopolitical Competition of the United States, China ... journalisslp.com International Studies Journal (ISJ) 2 facts
claimMark N. Katz analyzed Vladimir Putin's pro-Israel policy in a 2005 article.
referenceThe article 'Two Sides of the Same Coin in Russia-Israel Relations: Conflict and Cooperation' by A. Turan (2024) examines the dual nature of the relationship between Russia and Israel.
“Grave Peril” as Crisis Expands Across the Middle East betterworldcampaign.org Better World Campaign Mar 8, 2026 1 fact
accountThe United States and Israel began military operations against Iran on February 27, 2025, which have since spread across the region.
Beyond “Maximum Pressure” in US Policy on Iran: Leveraging ... mei.edu Middle East Institute Jan 30, 2025 1 fact
referenceFadi Nicholas Nassar hosted a podcast episode titled 'Hezbollah, Israel, and the Lebanese Armed Forces' for the Middle East Institute's 'Middle East Focus' series on October 10, 2024.
Gilbert Doctorow: Russia & China Reconsider U.S. Relations Over ... singjupost.com Glenn Diesen, Gilbert Doctorow · Singju Post Mar 25, 2026 1 fact
accountIsraeli officials claimed to have destroyed ships carrying Russian arms to Iran, while the Russian government denied that the ships were Russian or that they were carrying weapons.
The Iran War Is Upending Global Energy Markets by Carolyn Kissane project-syndicate.org Carolyn Kissane · Project Syndicate Mar 5, 2026 1 fact
measurementNearly 50 senior Iranian officials have been killed in the conflict with the US-Israeli coalition.
Geopolitical analysis of the imposed war against Iran - Al Jazeera aljazeera.com Al Jazeera Mar 10, 2026 1 fact
claimThe United States and Israel are described as the aggressors who have imposed a war against Iran, which has escalated beyond a local conflict to have global ramifications.
Middle East conflict economic impacts chips | Sourceability sourceability.com Sourceability 7 days ago 1 fact
accountU.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran, which began in February 2026, have resulted in severe disruption to commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, including more than a dozen confirmed attacks on merchant vessels.
Climate Shocks Are Redefining Energy Security energypolicy.columbia.edu Kate Guy · Columbia University Center on Global Energy Policy Jul 15, 2025 1 fact
claimUS and Israeli forces have significantly degraded Iran’s military and nuclear capability.
After the War: Rethinking Regional Security in the Middle ... arab-reform.net Arab Reform Initiative Mar 13, 2026 1 fact
referenceThe 2002 Arab Peace Initiative offered Israel full normalization in exchange for withdrawal from territories occupied in 1967, a just settlement of the Palestinian refugee question, and the establishment of a Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as its capital.
Quick View: The Iran conflict's impact on global energy markets janushenderson.com Janus Henderson Mar 2, 2026 1 fact
claimThe joint U.S.-Israeli offensive has targeted Iranian leadership and defense capabilities, while Iran's response has targeted U.S. military assets and civilian targets.
Policy Paper: Decoding the United States on Tariffs and Trade freiheit.org Friedrich Naumann Foundation for Freedom Dec 16, 2025 1 fact
claimUnited States support for Israel's military actions in Gaza and hardening visa policies are causing reputational damage to the United States, in addition to the backlash against trade deals.
Iran at a Crossroads: Legitimacy, External Pressure and Regional ... ciris.info Yucheng Hou · Ciris Feb 14, 2026 1 fact
referenceThe Abraham Accords demonstrated that selective normalization can rewire ties between Israel and several Arab states, adding channels for crisis management and reducing the risk of the region hardening into a single, polarized bloc.