Knowledge Tree
deterrence theory
Also known as: deterrent, deterrence theory, deterrence
Facts (16)
Sources
Beyond Missile Deterrence: The Rise of Algorithmic Superiority trendsresearch.org Mar 16, 2026 3 facts
claimThe availability of commercial drones, open-source artificial intelligence models, and cyber tools empowers smaller states and non-state actors to challenge established power hierarchies and complicate traditional deterrence.
claimArtificial intelligence alters state perceptions of deterrence, vulnerability, and escalation risks by potentially increasing mistrust and encouraging preemptive moves due to the speed and opacity of the systems.
claimIn regional conflicts characterized by distrust and fragile communication, AI-based deterrence can be either stabilizing or destabilizing, depending on the design and management of detection, attribution, and command-and-control systems.
Strategic analysis of cyber conflicts: A game-theoretic modelling of ... securityanddefence.pl May 31, 2025 2 facts
claimNye (2017) discusses the role of cyber power in international relations and the concept of cyber deterrence, highlighting the challenges in adapting traditional deterrence theory to the cyber domain due to the difficulties in attributing cyberattacks and the unique characteristics of cyber weapons.
claimGame-theoretic models show that states often make decisions under conditions of incomplete information and technological uncertainty, leading to strategic choices that appear suboptimal under conventional deterrence theory but are rational within the constraints of cyberspace.
Consequences of the Russia-Ukraine War and the Changing Face ... rand.org May 22, 2025 2 facts
claimThe U.S. Department of Defense should assess how increasing reliance on uncrewed aerial systems (UASs) affects adversary perceptions, as these systems could either enhance deterrence by signaling improved capability or increase the risk of miscalculation if perceived as a sign of U.S. unwillingness to take casualties.
claimIncreasing reliance on uncrewed aerial systems (UASs) presents a dual risk to deterrence: if adversaries perceive UASs as improving U.S. capability to defeat aggression, it enhances deterrence, but if they perceive it as a U.S. unwillingness to take casualties, it could increase the risk of miscalculation.
GEOPOLITICAL IMPLICATIONS OF THE RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR ... socialsciencesbulletin.com Dec 7, 2025 1 fact
perspectiveThe study argues for the necessity of updated security governance frameworks that balance deterrence with diplomatic efforts to prevent escalation and maintain international stability.
After the War: Rethinking Regional Security in the Middle ... arab-reform.net Mar 13, 2026 1 fact
claimThe author asserts that the current regional order has failed Arab states, including GCC countries, and proposes that a more coherent regional pact should be anchored in deterrence, non-aggression, and economic cooperation rather than ideological bloc politics.
Twenty questions (and expert answers) about the Iran war atlanticcouncil.org Mar 11, 2026 1 fact
claimTehran may be gaining a new layer of deterrence if the threat of short-range drone or missile attacks can trigger geoeconomic disruption by intermittently halting traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.
Competing with China Explained: What Americans Need to Know rand.org Sep 13, 2024 1 fact
perspectiveBouey suggests that the U.S. approach to Taiwan should emphasize soft power while maintaining effective deterrence and the policy of strategic ambiguity.
The Geopolitics of the Russian-Ukrainian War: Implications for Africa ... eu-opensci.org Aug 3, 2024 1 fact
claimMorrow (1989) notes that security academics examine military conflicts to analyze the normal conduct of international relations, including diplomacy, alliances, and deterrence.
Military escalation and diverging regional strategies in the Middle East theloop.ecpr.eu Mar 11, 2026 1 fact
claimThe United States and Israel hope that air strikes on Iran will reignite protests across Iran with greater intensity, creating internal pressure while Iran struggles to maintain deterrence.
How to Handle Iran's Nuclear Ambitions - New Lines Institute newlinesinstitute.org Jul 23, 2025 1 fact
perspectiveThe Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) views deterrence as a multi-domain strategy where ballistic missiles, proxy forces, cyber operations, and nuclear ambiguity are interwoven components of an asymmetric deterrent doctrine.
Political and social trends in the future of global security. A meta ... link.springer.com Dec 5, 2017 1 fact
claimHostile actions occurring in the 'gray zone'—the space between peace and war—undermine traditional international crisis management tools like diplomacy and deterrence.
The Future of Conflict is Now: The Need for Asymmetric Deterrence iqt.org Feb 25, 2025 1 fact
claimUnmanned maritime systems provide a cost-effective method to enhance maritime domain awareness and serve as a flexible, scalable deterrent against potential adversaries.