RAND
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Facts (11)
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Consequences of the Russia-Ukraine War and the Changing Face ... rand.org May 22, 2025 4 facts
procedureTo bound expectations for the Russia-Ukraine war’s likely consequences, the RAND research team assessed 12 previous conflicts similar in size, duration, and scope to the Russia-Ukraine war, while excluding civil wars with limited external involvement.
procedureThe RAND research team used a three-pronged approach to examine the Russia-Ukraine war’s geopolitical and military consequences through fall 2024: (1) surveying similar historical wars to set expectations for the likely effects and aftermath; (2) drawing on government documents, statements from senior leaders, discussions with subject-matter experts, and open-source research to characterize state adaptations; and (3) identifying plausible future events or changes that could alter states’ responses to the ongoing conflict.
perspectiveThe RAND research team asserts that if the current shift in strategic alignment is sustained, the resulting isolation from Europe and increased U.S.-European cooperation will likely be the most enduring strategic cost Russia pays for the war in Ukraine.
referenceThe RAND research team assessed a scenario where Russia succeeds in its initial invasion objective by militarily imposing a change of government in Kyiv, noting that a clear Russian victory would call into question whether non-Western powers could reshape aspects of the international system.
Competing with China Explained: What Americans Need to Know rand.org Sep 13, 2024 3 facts
claimJennifer Bouey is the Tang Chair for China Policy Studies, a senior policy researcher and epidemiologist at RAND, and a professor of policy analysis at the Pardee RAND Graduate School.
claimShanshan Mei is a political scientist at RAND and a former special assistant to the Chief of Staff of the Air Force for China and Indo-Pacific issues, with expertise in the People's Liberation Army and Chinese defense modernization priorities.
claimKristen Gunness is a senior policy researcher at RAND, a professor of policy analysis at the Pardee RAND Graduate School, and the former Director of the Navy Asia Pacific Advisory Group at the Pentagon, with expertise in Chinese military, security, and foreign policy issues.
U.S.-China Economic Competition: Gains and Risks in a ... - RAND rand.org Jun 23, 2025 2 facts
referenceThe RAND report 'U.S.-China Economic Competition: Gains and Risks in a Complex Economic and Geopolitical Relationship' is the first of a four-part series and covers topics including the Chinese concept of economic security, a stock-taking of U.S. measures regarding China, supply chain disentanglement, cooperative versus restrictive engagement modes, return migration of Chinese nationals, energy and environmental security, and updates to international trade rules.
accountRAND researchers conducted economic and institutional analyses of U.S.-China competition, engaged in a participatory foresight exercise to understand the long-term path for ensuring U.S. economic health, and created two economic competition games exploring the dynamics of multiple countries interacting with each other and the private sector.
Strategic Rivalry between United States and China swp-berlin.org 1 fact
referenceEvan S. Medeiros authored the RAND Project Air Force report 'China’s International Behavior: Activism, Opportunism, and Diversification', which analyzes China's international conduct.
How NATO can integrate AI to prevail in future algorithmic warfare atlanticcouncil.org 4 days ago 1 fact
referenceAdversaries can steal AI model weights through espionage or proxy hackers to gain access to core capabilities for manipulation, as detailed in the 2024 RAND report 'Securing AI Model Weights: Preventing Theft and Misuse of Frontier Models' by Sella Nevo et al.