procedure
The RAND research team used a three-pronged approach to examine the Russia-Ukraine war’s geopolitical and military consequences through fall 2024: (1) surveying similar historical wars to set expectations for the likely effects and aftermath; (2) drawing on government documents, statements from senior leaders, discussions with subject-matter experts, and open-source research to characterize state adaptations; and (3) identifying plausible future events or changes that could alter states’ responses to the ongoing conflict.

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