U.S. ↔ average effective tariff rate

Relations (1)

cross_type 3.00 — strongly supporting 7 facts

The U.S. is directly linked to the average effective tariff rate through various economic simulations and historical measurements, such as the projected increases in the rate for U.S. imports [1], [2], [3] and historical data points regarding the U.S. consumer price index [4] and benchmark rates [5], [6].

Facts (7)

Sources

Tariffs: Estimating the Economic Impact of the 2025 Measures and ... richmondfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond 6 facts

measurementUnder Scenario 3, which includes a 25 percent tariff on all auto imports, the nationwide Average Effective Tariff Rate (AETR) in the United States rises to 12.4 percent.

measurementThe increase in the average effective tariff rate during 2018-19 resulted in roughly a 0.3 percent rise in the U.S. consumer price index.

measurementIn a simulated scenario involving a uniform tariff on European Union imports, the Average Effective Tariff Rate (AETR) for United States imports from the European Union would increase from 4.4 percent to 29.4 percent.

claimScenario 4 introduces a 25 percent tariff on all European Union imports in addition to the measures in Scenario 3, which intensifies and widens economic exposure to tariffs across the United States, with Average Effective Tariff Rates (AETRs) exceeding 10 percent and in some cases reaching above 14 percent.

measurementThe benchmark Average Effective Tariff Rate (AETR) for the United States at the end of 2024 was 2.2 percent.

measurementUnder the proposed Scenario 2 tariff package, the overall Average Effective Tariff Rate (AETR) for United States imports is projected to increase from 7.1 percent to 10.4 percent.

Tracking the Economic Effects of Tariffs | The Budget Lab at Yale budgetlab.yale.edu Budget Lab at Yale 1 fact

measurementThe effective tariff rate in the United States reached 9.9% in December 2025.