Relations (1)

cross_type 4.95 — strongly supporting 22 facts

The United States and Iraq are connected through a long history of military intervention, including the 2003 U.S.-led invasion {fact:7, fact:13, fact:30} and the subsequent maintenance of a U.S. military presence to counter regional threats and Iranian influence {fact:9, fact:18, fact:20}. Furthermore, the two entities are linked by ongoing security dynamics, such as U.S. strikes against Iran-backed militias operating within Iraq {fact:22, fact:25} and diplomatic efforts to stabilize the Iraqi government {fact:11, fact:16}.

Facts (22)

Sources
An Integrated U.S. Strategy to Address Iran's Nuclear and Regional ... carnegieendowment.org William J. Burns, Michèle Flournoy · Carnegie Endowment for International Peace 8 facts
perspectiveThe United States should prioritize keeping Iran out of the Golan Heights and Israel's border areas over limiting Iranian control of lines of communication in Syria and Iraq.
claimA small, enduring U.S. military presence in Iraq provides political influence that the United States can use to check Iran's policies and seek negotiated political outcomes.
accountThe administration of U.S. President George W. Bush attempted to intimidate Iran militarily and support Iranian democracy activists between 2000 and 2008, yet during this period, Iran attacked U.S. forces in Iraq, causing approximately 1,000 U.S. casualties, and the Iranian reform movement withered.
accountSince the U.S. drawdown from Iraq in 2011, the United States has maintained a force presence of roughly 30,000–40,000 troops in the Middle East to conduct missions such as operations against the Islamic State, ensure freedom of navigation in the Gulf, and deter destabilizing Iranian behavior.
perspectiveThe United States should maintain a small, long-term military presence in Iraq at current force levels to support Iraqi security forces and prevent the return of the Islamic State.
claimThe United States and Iran could find common ground in Iraq regarding political arrangements that maintain a strong central government while preventing Sunni alienation that could lead to renewed armed conflict.
accountU.S. military deployments to Iraq since 2014 have acted as a force multiplier against the Islamic State, making the presence valued by the Iraqi government.
claimIran is likely to acquiesce to a long-term American military presence in Iraq if Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi and Iraqi leadership privately press the case in Tehran, provided the force levels are low enough that Iran does not perceive them as a threat.
Opportunities for Collective Regional Security in the Middle East carnegieendowment.org Amr Hamzawy · Carnegie Endowment for International Peace 5 facts
accountThe Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) mobilized Shiite militias in Iraq to counter United States influence, while Hezbollah in Lebanon and Syria actively targeted Israeli assets and interests.
accountIranian-supported groups conducted attacks on United States bases in Iraq and Syria, which contributed to regional escalations including the 2020 United States assassination of IRGC commander Qassem Soleimani and prolonged hostilities between Hezbollah and Israel.
accountPrior to the 2011 Arab Spring, the Middle East faced instability due to the aftermath of the U.S. invasion of Iraq, the regional war on terror, stalled Israeli-Palestinian peace negotiations, the Gaza blockade, settlement activity in the West Bank and East Jerusalem, and escalations between Israel and Palestinian factions.
accountFollowing the U.S. invasion of Iraq, the Islamic Republic of Iran established a network of armed militias, including Hezbollah in Lebanon, Bashar al-Assad’s regime in Syria, and various Shiite parties in Iraq, to serve as a protective shield against American and Israeli adversaries.
accountThe Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) mobilized Shiite militias in Iraq to counter United States influence, while Hezbollah in Lebanon and Syria actively targeted Israeli assets and interests.
Policy Steps to Prevent a Nuclear Iran | The Washington Institute washingtoninstitute.org Michael Singh · The Washington Institute 3 facts
claimThe United States' historical track record of imposing regime change in countries such as Iraq, Afghanistan, and Libya is not considered encouraging.
claimUnited States military forces face risks in Iraq and the Gulf if the United States conducts strikes against Iran or if Iran retaliates, requiring the United States to commit substantial forces to prepare for such contingencies.
claimIt is unclear if U.S. and Israeli policymakers know how to effectuate regime change in Iran without resorting to an Iraq- or Afghanistan-style military occupation, an option that few in the United States are prepared to contemplate.
Beyond “Maximum Pressure” in US Policy on Iran: Leveraging ... mei.edu Middle East Institute 2 facts
claimCharles Lister and Joseph L. Votel published an opinion piece in The Washington Post on September 17, 2024, criticizing the United States' decision regarding troop withdrawal from Iraq while ISIS rebuilds in Syria.
perspectiveRobert S. Ford published an article in the Middle East Institute on November 26, 2024, arguing that United States success in Iraq requires being a more reliable partner than Iran.
Geopolitical, Strategic, and Humanitarian Implications of ... ardd-jo.org Arab Renaissance for Democracy and Development 1 fact
claimThe United States viewed the prospect of regime change in Iran as unattractive during the June 2025 war, due to its previous experiences in Iraq and the assessment that Iran is a larger, more complex state with a regime deeply embedded in its economy and civil society, lacking an organized political opposition.
After the War: Rethinking Regional Security in the Middle ... arab-reform.net Arab Reform Initiative 1 fact
accountThe Middle East has incurred significant human, economic, and environmental costs over the last two decades, including the U.S. invasion of Iraq, the war in Syria, state collapse in Libya, Yemen, and Sudan, the genocide in Gaza, wars in Lebanon, mass displacement, and insecurity in the Gulf and Red Sea.
A Region at Capacity: War, Displacement, and the Limits of ... mecouncil.org Middle East Council on Global Affairs 1 fact
claimIraq, despite being an oil-rich country, has a large population and has not yet recovered from the political and social turmoil following the 2003 U.S. invasion, limiting its capacity to host refugees.
Twenty questions (and expert answers) about the Iran war atlanticcouncil.org Atlantic Council 1 fact
accountThe United States is conducting strikes on Iran-backed militias in Iraq in response to attacks on US bases and diplomatic facilities inside Iraq.