asset stranding
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Energy asset stranding in resource-rich developing countries and ... frontiersin.org Jun 10, 2024 47 facts
perspectiveThe authors of 'Energy asset stranding in resource-rich developing countries' assert that asset stranding has the potential to catalyze momentum for positive change in resource-rich developing countries, which are more significantly affected and impacted by these transitions than industrial nations.
measurementDulong et al. (2023) found only 41 articles on asset stranding in economic journals compared to 285 articles in adjacent fields, noting the topic first emerged in non-economic journals in the late 1990s.
claimEffective research on asset stranding in resource-rich developing countries requires collaboration across multiple economic disciplines, including energy economics, macroeconomics, feminist economics, development economics, ecological economics, and political economics, as well as neighboring disciplines like public administration, transition research, and ethics.
claimResource-rich developing countries (RRDC) face distinctive challenges regarding asset stranding compared to industrialized nations, including economic dependency, governance issues, and socio-economic vulnerabilities.
perspectiveThe authors agree with Ansari and Holz (2020), Dulong et al. (2023), and Heras and Gupta (2024) that the topic of asset stranding is insufficiently covered in economic research, particularly regarding the development of quantification approaches and their application to the Global South.
claimAsset stranding in resource-rich developing countries is significantly influenced by climate policies adopted by importing industrial countries, which often implement stricter climate neutrality plans that necessitate a far-reaching phase-out of fossil energy.
claimResource-rich developing countries face a higher risk of asset stranding due to strong fossil fuel dependencies and societal consequences that extend beyond revenue disruption.
claimAsset stranding is defined as the premature value loss of assets, occurring before an asset is fully amortized or before the economic lifetime expected at the moment of the final investment decision has expired.
claimThe stranding of assets in resource-rich developing countries (RRDC) is a multifaceted problem influenced by sector exposure, risk drivers, national resilience, and the vulnerability and sensitivity of the population.
claimAsset stranding is a multifaceted problem, implying that there is no single solution for all aspects and that policies addressing only one aspect are insufficient.
perspectiveThe authors argue that a single policy measure is insufficient to address the multi-faceted problem of asset stranding in resource-rich developing countries (RRDC), and instead recommend a mix of complementary measures targeting different aspects of the problem.
claimAsset stranding is defined as the transition risk associated with global climate policy and a reduction of fossil fuel demand.
perspectiveInternational compensation payments for leaving fossil fuels in the ground are considered a 'silo solution' that lacks a 'silver bullet' quality for addressing asset stranding in resource-rich developing countries.
claimResource-rich developing countries (RRDC) are often characterized by weak socio-economic conditions, including low average incomes, high poverty rates, high inequality, and elevated unemployment levels, which magnify the economic and social consequences of asset stranding for their populations and increase the risk of social unrest if transition policies are implemented.
claimThe climate and development economics literature identifies international compensation payments as part of supply-side climate policies and economic diversification as two policy measures to address the implications of climate policy and asset stranding for resource-rich countries.
claimAsset stranding is a multi-faceted problem that particularly affects resource-rich developing countries (RRDCs) due to their heavy dependence on fossil fuels, limited prospects for economic diversification, inadequate political and social support structures, the presence of vulnerable populations, and the amplifying effects of the resource curse.
claimEconomic analysis regarding asset stranding is currently in its infancy, particularly when applied to the context of developing countries.
claimThe stranding of fossil energy assets in developing countries can disrupt economic dependence, expose nations to economic volatility, and potentially cause massive job losses and reduced economic growth.
claimEconomic research on asset stranding is considered immature and receives limited attention within the field of economics.
claimThe stranding of assets in resource-rich developing countries (RRDC) is a multifaceted problem with profound and far-reaching implications.
referenceMcGlade and Ekins (2015) and Welsby et al. (2021) found that while coal reserves in industrialized and emerging economies are primarily affected by asset stranding, resource-rich developing countries will also suffer from the stranding of oil and gas assets.
referenceMeasures to address asset stranding in resource-rich developing countries can be summarized into three categories: accelerating the phase-out of fossil energy resources, speeding up the development of alternative renewable energy industries, and explicitly considering justice issues.
perspectiveThe proposed research agenda for asset stranding in resource-rich developing countries aims to decrease resistance against climate governance and foster a just transition that considers benefits for the population.
referenceThe authors' analysis framework for asset stranding in resource-rich developing countries categorizes problems into four sets: exposure (risk of asset stranding), transition risk (asset stranding and revenue losses), resilience of public administration and government (the resource curse), and vulnerability and sensitivity (wider societal consequences).
referenceThe authors of the study 'Energy asset stranding in resource-rich developing countries' propose ten key research questions to guide future investigations into asset stranding, societal consequences, policy design, and geo-economic barriers in resource-rich developing countries (RRDCs).
claimAsset stranding is an under-researched topic, particularly concerning resource-rich developing countries (RRDCs) and the broader societal implications within the context of the just transition and climate governance resistance.
claimResearch on understanding asset stranding in resource-rich developing countries requires new quantitation approaches for societal consequences, initial estimates of these consequences, and local case studies for countries in the Global South.
claimQuantification approaches for asset stranding are in their infancy, with calculations primarily available for the energy sector, according to Ansari and Holz (2020) and Dulong et al. (2023).
claimResource-rich developing countries (RRDC) face governance and institutional challenges, including high levels of corruption, limited financial resources, and constrained capacities to respond to crises, which are related to the 'resource curse' and hinder their ability to address the economic ramifications of asset stranding.
claimThe longevity of energy assets for fossil resource production and transport amplifies the exposure of resource-rich developing countries (RRDC) to asset stranding, as these assets have long technical lifespans of multiple decades and are susceptible to future devaluation induced by climate policy.
claimThe study identifies three key research areas regarding asset stranding in resource-rich developing countries (RRDCs): understanding asset stranding, designing holistic policies, and addressing policy barriers.
perspectiveRelying solely on compensation payments to address asset stranding is an inadequate measure because it neglects the justice aspects of broader societal consequences, undermines climate policy efforts by rewarding fossil fuel investments, and faces feasibility challenges due to unsolved questions.
perspectiveMercure et al. (2018) argue that OPEC countries in the Arab world with high GDP per capita would suffer larger macroeconomic impacts from asset stranding than OPEC members in Africa and other developing countries.
claimFossil energy asset stranding in developing countries may lead to unstable funding for social welfare, health services, education, and infrastructure, which worsens living conditions for vulnerable populations.
claimThe severity of asset stranding impacts on a country depends on governmental resilience and the population's vulnerability and sensitivity.
claimAnalyses regarding the distributional effects of asset stranding are rare, according to Dulong et al. (2023).
perspectiveResearch funding agencies should promote research collaboration on the wider societal implications of asset stranding and support holistic policy measures that integrate different economic and social science disciplines.
claimExporting resource-rich developing countries of the Global South are affected differently and more severely by asset stranding than importing industrial nations, according to Bos and Gupta (2018) and Ansari and Holz (2020).
procedureA holistic policy approach is required to address asset stranding, which includes decreasing exposure risk, mitigating economic losses, addressing the resource curse, and reducing negative societal consequences.
claimRevenue losses resulting from asset stranding in resource-rich developing countries can be compensated through climate finance to support low-carbon development.
claimClimate policy will inevitably lead to the stranding of fossil energy assets, including production and transport assets for coal, oil, and natural gas.
claimAwareness of asset stranding has grown in recent years, particularly within the financial sector and economic finance literature (Campiglio and van der Ploeg, 2022).
claimSudden energy asset stranding in developing countries with weak political situations can intensify political instability, fuel corruption, and erode public trust in institutions if no compensation mechanisms exist.
claimEnergy asset stranding can trigger serious social crises within a country and create cross-border spillover effects that impact economic and political relations with other nations, particularly Global North exporting countries.
procedureTo address the risk of asset stranding, resource-rich developing countries can refrain from investing in fossil assets and limit the licensing of new fossil projects.
claimThe authors propose ten key research questions to synthesize the multi-faceted dimensions of asset stranding and to investigate the conditions of a well-managed fossil fuel production phase-out accompanied by a renewable energy ramp-up that benefits populations.
referenceEconomic literature focuses on quantifying the risk of asset stranding within the context of climate-related transition risks, as cited by Van der Ploeg and Rezai (2020) and Caldecott et al. (2021).