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A foresight scenario exercise conducted by the Atlantic Council identified three pathways for AI in warfare: guarded opportunism (AI improves productivity without changing the nature of war), a dangerous pathway (blending AI advantage with worsening threat perception and increased use of EMSO and directed-energy tools), and a deceptive pathway (threat perceptions rise due to hype despite fielded capabilities not matching predictions).
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Sources
- How NATO can integrate AI to prevail in future algorithmic warfare www.atlanticcouncil.org via serper
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- Atlantic Council entity