Relations (1)

related 3.17 — strongly supporting 6 facts

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) operates under the authority of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei to enforce ideological order and project power [1], while the IRGC's future influence and potential for a military takeover are intrinsically linked to Khamenei's leadership and eventual succession [2], [3]. Furthermore, the IRGC maintains its loyalty to the state system because it derives economic and political privileges from its subordinate relationship to the Supreme Leader [4], [5].

Facts (6)

Sources
How to Handle Iran's Nuclear Ambitions - New Lines Institute newlinesinstitute.org Newlines Institute 3 facts
perspectiveToppling Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei would likely empower the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) to form a military junta, resulting in a more militarized Iranian state with a greater willingness to engage in nuclear proliferation.
claimSupreme Leader Ali Khamenei acts as a stabilizing factor in Iran by keeping the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) in check, preventing the state from becoming more militant and prone to reckless escalation.
claimSupreme Leader Ali Khamenei relies on the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) to enforce ideological order and project power abroad, despite retaining formal control of the Iranian state.
Iran in crisis: the landscape after the Twelve-Day War - OSW osw.waw.pl OSW 1 fact
claimEconomic reform in Iran faces obstacles from opaque governance structures that favor the IRGC and powerful religious foundations subordinate to the Supreme Leader.
The Implications Of Iran's Failed Proxy Strategy - Hoover Institution hoover.org Hoover Institution 1 fact
claimA potential military takeover led by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) is a plausible scenario following the death of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, though it is unlikely to result in a significant departure from current policies.
Iran Country Report 2026 - BTI Transformation Index bti-project.org BTI Project 1 fact
claimThe Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) remains largely loyal to the Supreme Leader and the Islamic Republic system because the status quo grants the organization key positions and economic privileges while allowing it to shift responsibility onto the central government.