Relations (1)
related 5.83 — strongly supporting 55 facts
Canada and Mexico are linked as fellow signatories of the CPTPP trade agreement [1] and are both subjects of international decarbonization pathway analyses [2]. Furthermore, they are frequently grouped together in the context of United States trade relations [3] and recent economic policy discussions [4].
Facts (55)
Sources
Tariffs: Estimating the Economic Impact of the 2025 Measures and ... richmondfed.org 15 facts
measurementUnder the Richmond Fed's 'Scenario 2' tariff model, Canada's Average Effective Tariff Rate (AETR) increases to 11.9 percent, while Mexico's AETR rises to 15.5 percent.
claimScenario 2 of the proposed 2025 tariff package includes a 20 percent tariff on all imports from China, a 25 percent tariff on aluminum and steel imports from all countries, and a 25 percent tariff on goods imported from Canada and Mexico not covered under the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA).
claimAccording to U.S. Customs and Border Protection, Section 232 duties on steel and aluminum imports cannot be waived by free trade agreements, meaning they apply even to imports from trading partners such as Canada and Mexico.
measurementThe Richmond Fed's 'Scenario 2' economic model adds 25 percent tariffs on goods imported from Canada and Mexico that are not covered under the USMCA, resulting in an overall Average Effective Tariff Rate (AETR) increase from 7.1 percent to 10.4 percent.
measurementCanada and Mexico account for 12.6 percent and 15.5 percent of total U.S. imports, respectively.
claimTariffs of 25 percent on goods imported from Canada and Mexico that are not subject to the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) are scheduled to take effect in April 2025, alongside potential tariffs on automotive imports and goods from the European Union.
measurementThe most aggressive tariff package simulated by the Richmond Fed includes a 25 percent tariff on EU imports, 20 percent on Chinese imports, 25 percent on steel and aluminum, 25 percent on non-USMCA goods from Canada and Mexico, and 25 percent on auto imports.
measurementUnder the Richmond Fed's 'Scenario 3' tariff model, Mexico's Average Effective Tariff Rate (AETR) rises to 20.1 percent, Canada's AETR rises to 14.1 percent, and the European Union's AETR increases from 2.5 percent to 4.4 percent.
claimThe Richmond Fed observes that while approximately half of imports from Canada and Mexico fall outside the scope of the USMCA, these goods do not constitute the most import-heavy segments of U.S. trade with those countries, leading to a more dispersed impact across sectors compared to the high-volume sector targeting in Scenario 1.
claimUnder Scenario 3, U.S. counties in the industrial Midwest, parts of the Great Lakes, and manufacturing-intensive areas of the South face average tariff rates exceeding 10 percent due to their integration in global automotive supply chains with partners like Canada, Mexico, and the European Union.
measurementUnder the Richmond Fed's 'Scenario 3' model, the transportation equipment sector faces average tariff rates above 25 percent, reflecting the heavy dependence of U.S. auto manufacturing on imported parts and finished vehicles from Canada, Mexico, and the EU.
measurementIn Scenario 1, the Average Effective Tariff Rate (AETR) for Canada rises from 0.1 percent to 1.5 percent, and the AETR for Mexico rises from 0.2 percent to 2.8 percent.
claimRegions deeply integrated into North American manufacturing supply chains, specifically automotive and metal-intensive industries, would bear the heaviest economic burden under a scenario imposing 25 percent tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and imports of aluminum and steel.
measurementThe Richmond Fed's 'Scenario 2' tariff model assumes a 20 percent increase on all imports from China, a 25 percent increase on all aluminum and steel imports, and a 25 percent tariff on non-USMCA goods from Canada and Mexico relative to the benchmark case.
claimNew tariff measures targeting Canada, Mexico, the European Union, and automobiles threaten to cause widespread disruptions across key U.S. industries.
U.S. tariff outcomes dependent on trading partner responses dallasfed.org 6 facts
accountIn March 2025, the U.S. applied a 25 percent tariff on goods from Canada and Mexico, which was later adjusted to exclude USMCA-compliant items.
measurementIn a scenario involving a 25 percent U.S. tariff increase with tit-for-tat retaliation from all trading partners, Mexico experiences a consumption loss of 1.6 percent and Canada experiences a consumption loss of 1.1 percent.
measurementIn the absence of retaliation, Mexico and Canada would both face consumption losses of approximately 1.8 percent following a 25 percent U.S. tariff increase.
measurementUnder the reciprocal tariff policy, tariff adjustments varied by country: Canada and Mexico received no adjustments, China received an additional 34 percent increase, and a minimum 10 percent tariff was applied across the board.
measurementU.S. agricultural and food exports encountered high tariffs in Mexico and Canada, and tariffs exceeding 50 percent in China, despite USMCA exemptions.
claimDue to the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), updated to the USMCA in 2020, Canada and Mexico were largely exempt from the higher U.S. tariffs that existed prior to the 2018–19 trade war.
U.S. Trade and Tariffs: A Long-Term Perspective - UW-Stevens Point | blog.uwsp.edu 4 facts
claimCanada, Mexico, and China were the top three trading partners for Wisconsin in 2023, ranked in order for both imports and exports.
measurementAs of October 2024, Mexico, Canada, and China were the top three trading partners for the United States, accounting for 15.9%, 14.4%, and 10.9% of total trade, respectively.
measurementIn both 2017 and 2023, the top three trading partners for U.S. goods were Mexico, Canada, and China, collectively comprising over 40% of total U.S. trade.
measurementCanada, Mexico, and China accounted for 46% of Wisconsin's total imports ($39.3 billion) and 51% of total exports ($28.0 billion) in 2023.
Tracking Trump's Trade Deals | Council on Foreign Relations cfr.org 3 facts
claimThe Supreme Court's invalidation of IEEPA tariffs resulted in the retraction of duties from seven executive orders: 14193 (Canada-Fentanyl), 14194 (Mexico-Fentanyl), 14195 (China-Fentanyl), 14245 (Venezuelan Oil), 14257 (Reciprocal Tariff), 14323 (Brazil), and 14329 (India-Russian Oil Imports).
claimWhile Canada and Mexico receive reciprocal tariff exemptions under the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), neither country had a framework or reciprocal trade agreement on top of their existing Free Trade Agreement as of January 2026.
claimProducts from Canada and Mexico that comply with the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement, as well as apparel and textiles originating from CAFTA-DR countries (Costa Rica, the Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, and Nicaragua), are exempt from Section 122 tariffs.
International Trade Agreements and U.S. Tariff Laws everycrsreport.com 3 facts
accountIn February 2025, President Trump declared three national emergencies related to drug trafficking and invoked the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to impose tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and the People's Republic of China (PRC).
claimCanada and Mexico may argue that U.S. auto tariffs violate USMCA side letters that limit U.S. use of Section 232 against auto imports from those countries.
accountSeveral WTO members, including Canada, Mexico, the European Union, and the People's Republic of China, have agreed to an interim arbitration arrangement to hear appeals concerning their disputes or have treated some WTO panel decisions as binding while the Appellate Body remains nonfunctional.
The Evolution of Tariffs: The United States' Historical Implementation ... thefinplangroup.com 3 facts
accountOn April 9th, the United States reduced country-specific tariffs to a universal rate of 10%, while maintaining a 25% tariff rate on goods from Canada and Mexico.
measurementIn 2024, the United States imported over $3 trillion worth of goods, with the top trading partners being Mexico ($509 billion), China ($462 billion), and Canada ($422 billion).
measurementIn 2024, the top U.S. import partners were Mexico ($509 billion), China ($462 billion), and Canada ($422 billion).
Can the U.S. Move from Multilateral to Bilateral Trade Agreements? southernagtoday.org 2 facts
claimDue to trade tensions, China is no longer the top destination for U.S. agricultural exports, having fallen behind Mexico and Canada.
measurementThe European Union is the largest market for U.S. products, accounting for 17.51 percent of exports, followed by Canada (17.07 percent), Mexico (14.51 percent), and China (8 percent).
Academic Paper: The Future of Trade Wars in Trump's Foreign Policy eng.alzaytouna.net 2 facts
measurementApplying 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico that fall outside the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement coverage raises the average effective tariff rate (AETR) to 10.4%.
measurementApplying 25% auto tariffs lifts the average effective tariff rate (AETR) to 12.4%, with country-level AETRs reaching 30% for Mexico and 20% for Canada.
How Tariffs Are Reshaping Global Supply Chains in 2025 supplychainbrain.com 1 fact
claimThe United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) facilitates duty-free trade between the United States, Mexico, and Canada, which encourages nearshoring of supply chains.
Dietary Guidelines and Quality - Principles of Nutritional Assessment nutritionalassessment.org 1 fact
referenceMany countries have developed indices measuring adherence to national dietary guidelines based on the Healthy Eating Index concept, including Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, Denmark, France, Germany, Korea, Malaysia, Mexico, The Netherlands, Russia, Spain, and Thailand.
The Impact of Trump's Tariffs: A Comprehensive Analysis claconnect.com 1 fact
claimThe Trump administration's initial tariff announcements targeted Canada, Mexico, and China, but later evolved to include reciprocal tariffs on countries globally, affecting a wide range of commodities.
Fact Sheet: USTR Initiates 60 Section 301 Investigations Relating to ... ustr.gov 1 fact
claimThe Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) has initiated Section 301 investigations into 60 specific economies: Algeria, Angola, Argentina, Australia, The Bahamas, Bahrain, Bangladesh, Brazil, Cambodia, Canada, Chile, China (People’s Republic of), Colombia, Costa Rica, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Egypt, El Salvador, European Union, Guatemala, Guyana, Honduras, Hong Kong (China), India, Indonesia, Iraq, Israel, Japan, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Libya, Malaysia, Mexico, Morocco, New Zealand, Nicaragua, Nigeria, Norway, Oman, Pakistan, Peru, Philippines, Qatar, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, South Africa, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Switzerland, Taiwan, Thailand, Trinidad and Tobago, Türkiye, United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom, Uruguay, Venezuela, and Vietnam.
USTR initiates Section 301 investigations of 60 US trade partners ... jdsupra.com 1 fact
claimThe list of 60 economies subject to the Section 301 investigations includes entities that have already adopted or implemented prohibitions on imports made by forced labor and supply chain due diligence standards, such as the European Union, Canada, and Mexico.
Tariffs 101: What are they and how do they work? - Oxford Economics oxfordeconomics.com 1 fact
claimThe Trump administration justified imposing tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China to pressure foreign governments into addressing illegal immigration and drug trafficking, and to address the size of the United States' trade deficit.
Initiation of Section 301 Investigations of Acts, Policies, and ... federalregister.gov 1 fact
claimCanada, Mexico, and the European Union have adopted measures intended to stop the importation or sale of products produced using forced labor in response to engagement from the United States.
The Power of Change: Innovation for Development and Deployment ... nationalacademies.org 1 fact
referenceThe Sustainable Development Solutions Network (SDSN) and the Institute for Sustainable Development and International Relations (IDDRI) have conducted an ongoing analysis of deep decarbonization pathways for 15 nations: Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Japan, Mexico, Russia, South Africa, South Korea, the United Kingdom, and the United States.
U.S. and Global Trade Agreements: Issues for Congress everycrsreport.com 1 fact
referenceThe Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP), also referred to as TPP-11, includes Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, and Vietnam.
USTR Initiates 60 Section 301 Investigations Relating to Failures to ... ustr.gov 1 fact
claimThe 60 US trade partners subject to the USTR Section 301 investigations regarding forced labor include Canada, Chile, China, Colombia, Costa Rica, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Egypt, El Salvador, the European Union, Guatemala, Guyana, Honduras, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Iraq, Israel, Japan, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Libya, Malaysia, Mexico, Morocco, New Zealand, Nicaragua, Nigeria, Norway, Oman, Pakistan, Peru, the Philippines, Qatar, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, South Africa, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Switzerland, Taiwan, Thailand, Trinidad and Tobago, Türkiye, the United Arab Emirates, the United Kingdom, Uruguay, Venezuela, and Vietnam.
Policy Paper: Decoding the United States on Tariffs and Trade freiheit.org 1 fact
claimHigher tariffs on Canada and Mexico compared to Japan increase input costs for American car manufacturers relative to their primary competitors.
GEO-LAC: The Future of U.S. Trade Policy and Its Implications for ... americas.georgetown.edu 1 fact
claimThe upcoming 2026 review of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) creates structural uncertainty that could discourage investment if the United States, Mexico, and Canada do not affirm the agreement's continuation.
History of tariffs in the United States - Wikipedia en.wikipedia.org 1 fact
accountOn June 1, 2018, the Trump administration extended steel and aluminum tariffs to the European Union, Canada, and Mexico.
A tectonic shift in tariff policy | UN Trade and Development (UNCTAD) unctad.org 1 fact
claimThe United States introduced additional tariffs of 25% on goods from Mexico and 35% on goods from Canada that do not meet the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) rules of origin, with some lower rates applied to energy-related goods and potash.
U.S.-China Relations cfr.org 1 fact
measurementIn 2006, China surpassed Mexico to become the United States' second-largest trade partner, following Canada.
USTR Launches Broad Section 301 Investigations Into Excess ... dwt.com 1 fact
claimThe countries targeted for review in the Section 301 investigation are Algeria, Angola, Argentina, Australia, the Bahamas, Bahrain, Bangladesh, Brazil, Cambodia, Canada, Chile, China, Colombia, Costa Rica, the Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Egypt, El Salvador, the EU, Guatemala, Guyana, Honduras, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Iraq, Israel, Japan, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Libya, Malaysia, Mexico, Morocco, New Zealand, Nicaragua, Nigeria, Norway, Oman, Pakistan, Peru, the Philippines, Qatar, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, South Africa, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Switzerland, Taiwan, Thailand, Trinidad and Tobago, Türkiye, the United Arab Emirates, the United Kingdom, Uruguay, Venezuela, and Vietnam.
Unidentified flying object - Wikipedia en.wikipedia.org 1 fact
claimGovernments or independent academics in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Japan, Peru, France, Belgium, Sweden, Brazil, Chile, Uruguay, Mexico, Spain, and the Soviet Union have investigated UFO reports at various times.